[ExI] Atheism again

[William Flynn Wallace]

### I used this term in a clumsy way, more or less trying to say that a
Bayesian mind ascribes P values from the interval between 0 and 1 to all
beliefs, a completely non-Bayesian mind uses 1 or 0 for all beliefs, and
then there are all those minds in between. That was an imprecise expression
but I hope it gets the meaning across.

Rafal

*OK, I get that.  But I cannot conceive of a mind that would either be
completely certain about the existence of something or completely certain
about the nonexistence of something. For one thing, fine but for
everything? The Kruger Dunning effect insures that there will be people
whose estimates of probability will be way off about their ability or
knowledge, or perhaps just a tad off, like most people.  The latter, I
think, would be very common.*

*bill w*

On Thu, Apr 30, 2020 at 12:05 AM Rafal Smigrodzki via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

>
> On Wed, Apr 29, 2020 at 10:03 PM William Flynn Wallace <
> foozler83 at gmail.com> wrote:
>
>> If I may ask:  would you summarize just what a Bayesian and a nonBayesian
>> mind is?  The formula and how it is used I know.
>>
>
> ### I used this term in a clumsy way, more or less trying to say that a
> Bayesian mind ascribes P values from the interval between 0 and 1 to all
> beliefs, a completely non-Bayesian mind uses 1 or 0 for all beliefs, and
> then there are all those minds in between. That was an imprecise expression
> but I hope it gets the meaning across.
>
> Rafal
> _______________________________________________
> extropy-chat mailing list
> extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org
> http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat
>
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