[ExI] Covid again
hkeithhenson at gmail.com
Tue May 5 23:21:42 UTC 2020
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As the administration privately predicted a sharp increase in deaths,
a public model that has been frequently cited by the White House
revised its own estimates and projected a death toll of more than
double what it was predicting last month. The Institute for Health
Metrics and Evaluation at the University of Washington is now
estimating that there will be nearly 135,000 deaths in the U.S.
through the beginning of August -- more than double what it forecast
on April 17, when it estimated 60,308 deaths by Aug. 4. (There have
already been more than 68,000 deaths in the U.S.) The institute wrote
that the revisions "reflect rising mobility in most U.S. states as
well as the easing of social distancing measures expected in 31 states
by May 11, indicating that growing contacts among people will promote
transmission of the coronavirus."
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