[ExI] puzzling

[Dan TheBookMan]

On Thu, Oct 15, 2020 at 2:57 PM spike jones via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

> Apparently the Florida governor reopening everything isn’t causing a new
> epidemic:
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Seems to be on the rise now. There is probably a delay due to how it takes
for someone to be infected and show symptoms, no?

See among many other reports of this rise:

https://www.tampabay.com/news/health/2020/10/16/florida-coronavirus-cases-rise-again-as-death-toll-continues-its-climb/

(Used this one because it has some neat graphics. Maybe they're so nice
they're misleading, but the text reveals a jump in the number of cases that
might reasonably be attributed to the delay in how long it takes for people
to report symptoms or be tested or end up in hospital.)

There are spoilers, though, for a simple causal model (of Florida governor
reopening causing this rise). They are that this is going into the fall flu
season when one would expect a rise (how that is with Florida, I don't
know) and there's a rise in other states too (which could mean some of the
rise outside Florida is bleeding into Florida even if people aren't
traveling around as much).

Regards,

Dan
  Sample my Kindle books via:
http://author.to/DanUst
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