[ExI] biker bounce again

spike at rainier66.com spike at rainier66.com
Tue Sep 1 15:37:45 UTC 2020


 

OK well, it still isn't clear, and data might still be coming in, but so
far, if there is any Sturgis surge in covid cases, it's not much of one.

 

I used the case rate from that college near there for a baseline comparison
and estimated what the states should be seeing.  If there is a Sturgis
surge, it looks smaller (or no larger) than the students suffered at Black
Hills State U.

 

Do let us think about this and compare.

 

Both the rally and the school opening had proles coming in from all over.

 

There was a big difference in ages: the late teen/early 20sers on campus vs
the pre-geezer biker crowd.

 

The students were required to wear masks always and everywhere on campus,
and they nearly all did.

 

Doesn't matter what the biker crowd is required to do, they didn't (rebels
they are (without a cause (ask them what they are rebelling against (they
come back with a clever riposte (such as "Whaddya got?)))))  In all
fairness, if any orders were given to the bikers orally, they might not have
heard, for their hearing-aid batteries were tired from the trip.  

 

Way higher population density at the rally than on the campus.

 

Important difference: students were indoors a good part of the day, bikers
were outdoors.  I have been to college, seldom had an outdoor lecture.  I
have been to Sturgis, there is nowhere near enough buildings to put a roof
over a quarter of them even in a severe hailstorm.  Most of their biker
stuff happens outdoors.  Seasoned veteran bikers skilled in the art of not
dying might have determined to eschew going under any roof for any reason
besides using a toilet, and for the men only a specific usually once-a-day
use of even that particular appliance.  All other activities such as dining,
drinking, smoking, fighting, chasing skirts and generally enjoying playing
Marlin Brando for a week can (and probably should) be done outdoors at
Sturgis.  Safer that way, and doesn't risk having the wooden chairs in the
saloon being used to whack over a fellow biker's head, risking damage to
perfectly good bar furnishing and the spillage of beer.

 

That looks like it to me like the big differences:

 

Bikers denser packed

Students younger

Bikers mostly outdoors

Students masked

 

OK then.  From early appearances, the bikers were apparently lower catchers
than the students.

 

Ideas please?  I have one that is speculative: Black Hills State U might
have a lot of students from rural loosely packed areas (there just aren't
many big cities anywhere around there.)  Many of the most active biker clubs
are from the city or from the denser burbs, such as around here.  Perhaps
those in the cities and burbs have already been exposed and moved past the
virus?  But the rancher youth may be getting up close and personal for the
first time since last spring.  So perhaps the rancher youth would catch on
their very meet and greet, or their first rasslin match in the old indoor
haystack after they arrive on campus? 

 

spike

 

 

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