[ExI] bikers again

spike at rainier66.com spike at rainier66.com
Tue Sep 8 21:02:42 UTC 2020


 

 

> On Behalf Of Henry Rivera via extropy-chat
Subject: Re: [ExI] bikers again

 

https://www.iheart.com/content/2020-09-08-sturgis-motorcycle-rally-linked-to-20-of-us-covid-19-cases-in-august/ <https://www.iheart.com/content/2020-09-08-sturgis-motorcycle-rally-linked-to-20-of-us-covid-19-cases-in-august/?mid=471342&rid=72174378&sc=email&pname=newsletter&cid=NATIONAL&keyid=National%20iHeart%20Daily%20NewsTalk&campid=headline2_readmore> 

 

Spike makes a good point. This one has a comment at the end by an epidemiologist. 

At this point, the results do not align with the impacts of the rally among attendees in the state of South Dakota,"  <https://www.keloland.com/keloland-com-original/report-calls-sturgis-rally-a-superspreading-event-responsible-for-more-than-12-billion-in-healthcare-costs-nationwide/> epidemiologist Dr.  <https://www.keloland.com/keloland-com-original/report-calls-sturgis-rally-a-superspreading-event-responsible-for-more-than-12-billion-in-healthcare-costs-nationwide/> Joshua Clayton <https://www.keloland.com/keloland-com-original/report-calls-sturgis-rally-a-superspreading-event-responsible-for-more-than-12-billion-in-healthcare-costs-nationwide/>  told  <https://www.keloland.com/keloland-com-original/report-calls-sturgis-rally-a-superspreading-event-responsible-for-more-than-12-billion-in-healthcare-costs-nationwide/> KELO.





 

It might end up dependent on how you look at it.  If the background expected case rate for half a million randomly chosen people was about 540 cases, but we can trace about 260 to that event, then der economists in der Deutschland extrapolates that to 260,000 cases traceable to Sturgis, it stands to reason that the same method would extrapolate to 540,000 new cases traceable to not-Sturgis during the same period.

 

Otherwise we would be left trying to figure out what is special about a virus which has been on a motorcycle ride vs one which stayed home.

 

Perhaps it is still better to listen to der epidemiologists, rather than economists und der politicians.

 

spike

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