[ExI] Fwd: Space governance
Adrian Tymes
atymes at gmail.com
Sat Sep 26 18:59:38 UTC 2020
On Sat, Sep 26, 2020 at 7:05 AM Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> Note I'm not talking about monetary cost. That varies, but the energy
> cost (cost in energy, not monetary cost of energy) doesn't (the minimum
> energy cost, anyway).
>
And the energy cost is almost irrelevant, save that it informs the monetary
cost. It's the monetary cost that will gateway getting people into space.
It is a given that the cost of launching things into space will have to
come down a lot before many people move into space. This is being worked
on, and seems likely to happen to a sufficient degree within a few
decades. (Disclaimer: I'm one of the people working on it.)
There is a technological element necessary to this end (higher energy
fuels, that enable fully reusable spacecraft), but there is a logistical
element necessary too. Currently spaceflight is rare because it is
expensive - but also, it is expensive because it is rare. Much of the cost
is not actually in the rockets themselves, but in all the logistics around
a rocket launch that could be amortized across several launches if only
there were several launches to amortize across, but there are not.
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