[ExI] i got friends in low places

[spike at rainier66.com]

-----Original Message-----
From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat
Subject: Re: [ExI] i got friends in low places

On Tue, 23 Aug 2022 at 18:29, spike jones via extropy-chat <extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
>
>>... Those of you who follow this sorta thing, Atlantic hurricane activity...  This year, 2022, that correlation is going the wrong way, which means that when we do the feedback loop to update the covariance matrix, that correlation coefficient decreases, so our Kalman filter predictive confidence goes… down.
>
>>... Whoops.  That wasn’t supposta happen.> spike...
>
> _______________________________________________


>...Well, you've heard of the Butterfly Effect, <https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Butterfly_effect>
So, out in the garden this morning, I've just had a couple of violent sneezes that really cleared the dust out of my ears. That could be the start of a hurricane headed to Florida in the next week or two.  :) Just wait and see!


BillK

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Ah so if we do have a hurricane BillK, you mighta caused it?  The nerve of you!  Unacceptable!

If you look at the current outlook, there is nothing in the Atlantic that is very likely to develop into even a tropical depression in the next 5 days.  We are 7 days from moving into second place for the longest span between named storms and only 9 days from setting a record in satellite times (all years since 1966.)

A new correlation is becoming compelling: the quiet Atlantic with droughts.  I understand it has been a bit dry in Europe this summer.  This makes a sense to me because Atlantic hurricanes would hurl a lotta water into the atmosphere, where it blows generally east and would fall over there somewhere.

BillK, is Jolly Olde having a dry year please?

spike