[ExI] Human-level AGI will never happen

Rafal Smigrodzki rafal.smigrodzki at gmail.com
Sat Jan 8 01:49:36 UTC 2022

AGI must be able to match the average human in all intellectual endeavors
to be worth being called a human-level AGI. Various aspects of human
cognition have been solved by narrow AIs in the past 25 years and year by
year the number of tasks where humans still beat AI is getting smaller. In
many of these narrow tasks the AI doesn't just match human ability but
rather it beats humans by completely inhuman margins. The first AI that
checks off the last box on the list of human capabilities to beat will be
the AGI, the holy grail - but most of the capabilities it inherited from
earlier iterations will be strongly superhuman. So the first AGI will
actually be the first superhuman AGI, not human-level AGI. To bring it down
to human level you would have to handicap it harshly, and I can't think of
a reasonable use-case for such a digital cripple.

Therefore, human-level AGI will never happen. QED.

Unless it is made as some sort of a sick joke.

Rafal Smigrodzki, MD-PhD
Schuyler Biotech PLLC
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