[ExI] vision for the next 50 years

[Brent Allsop]

To which essay are you referring?

On Mon, Mar 28, 2022 at 2:28 PM spike jones via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

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> *From:* spike at rainier66.com <spike at rainier66.com>
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> *>…*The benefits are subjective, theoretical and generally invisible to
> us.  The risk is objective as hell, concrete, painfully visible…spike
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> With the following essay I hope to outline a vision for the most
> optimistic estimate of my own lifetime, about 50 years, which assumes I
> make it well past 100 (unlikely I know but theoretically possible.)
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> We in USA live in times where we are fighting a proxy war with Russia in
> Ukraine, but we know that it very well could spill over into Poland at
> which time there is a very real risk of escalation: the planet’s two most
> heavily armed nations could duke it out with their most sincere and
> horrifying weapons.  This gives a whole new meaning to the term “Duke
> Nukem.”  This is of course a grim vision indeed and I predict (and hope
> like hell) it does not happen.  But it might.
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> In the event that Russia and NATO nuke it out, Africa will be sitting down
> there below the line of fire, watching missiles going back and forth but
> being hit by none.  There isn’t much on that continent anyone would want to
> destroy.  When all the radioactive dust settles and the corpses buried,
> Africa is still sitting there, inviting technologically-advanced
> survivors.  You saw that map showing that the land area of Africa is
> equivalent to a hundred other nations.  There is plenty of room there to go
> back to where we started and build from there outward.
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> A nuclear holocaust doesn’t kill everyone on the planet.  It would kill
> billions, and perhaps billions more would starve in the nuclear winter
> described by Carl Sagan.  But a billion or two would survive, many of these
> in Africa.  In the nuclear winter scenario, sub-Saharan Africa is in
> relatively good shape.  If some tech-advanced society has a good solid
> toehold in lower Africa (or even the Sahara) then we could get a hundred
> years head start on getting back to where we were a month ago.
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> spike
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