[ExI] Hofstadter now fears AI
pharos at gmail.com
Fri Jul 7 15:01:58 UTC 2023
On Fri, 7 Jul 2023 at 15:22, Brent Allsop <brent.allsop at gmail.com> wrote:
> No, AI will be much smarter than current average humans.
> But re architected brain intelligence is about to start exploding even faster than all that, to say nothing of using AI's as personal intelligence amplification systems.
> Uploading to exponentially more capable system, uploading to bodies that don't need space or diving suites...
> Why does everyone completely ignore all that?
I think the main problem is the relative timescale of the two options.
AI is improving rapidly, approaching exponential improvements.
AGI is estimated to arrive in 5 to 10 years time.
Tinkering with complex human brains is just making the first baby
steps and faces great scientific difficulties. Also, there are ethical
concerns about just enhancing a few humans first, like the
billionaires, for example.
Uploading is probably 100 years away, as so much research needs to be done,
If AGI arrives in a few years time, that will be the Singularity for humans
and all bets are off.
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