[ExI] ai 2027

[Adrian Tymes]

As with other such predictions, this site's timeline has enough
internal contradictions to dismiss its predicted results.

The simplest one is: at some point it predicts that China outright
steals Agent-2...and yet, the best Chinese model for that time period
and the one after is well behind Agent-2, despite the operation in
question supposedly rocketing it right up to equivalence.

On Fri, Nov 28, 2025 at 10:43 AM spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
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> This site is informative, and has influenced (not guided (but definitely informed (and even entertained)) my views over the past few.
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> I don’t agree with everything: the authors may be slow-dowers, whereas I am more of a racer (see bottom of first page.)
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> I am no expert, but it feels to me like our species is race whether we like it or not.  Countersuggestions welcome.
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> I have always been a racy kinda guy.  That’s hard to stop.  Are you a slow-down or a race?  John, Adrian, Ben, Mike, others please?  Racers all?  Or… what?  Both of these choices have their challenges, but the way the choice is framed is too Boolean for me.  Are there any other branches on their flow chart?
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> The study was published almost a year ago, so it might be far enough along we can see which of their models is working:
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> https://ai-2027.com/
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> spike
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