[ExI] My review of Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book

[spike at rainier66.com]

-----Original Message-----
From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces at lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat
Sent: Sunday, 5 October, 2025 10:37 AM
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Cc: Adrian Tymes <atymes at gmail.com>
Subject: Re: [ExI] My review of Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book

On Sun, Oct 5, 2025 at 1:28 PM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:
> But in some ways I see AI doing what we are already seeing: 
> AI-generated video which is so damn good, a lot of people don't 
> realize it is fake, so good even we sophisticated computer jockeys 
> don't really know for absolute certain, and plenty of smart people do 
> fall for it.  Example: narco boats exploding in international waters.  
> Is it real or is it Memorex?  (To borrow a phrase.)
>
> Do offer a line of reasoning if you take a stand either way on the above.

Easy.  Is there just that one video, offered under suspicious circumstances?  Not so trustworthy.  Are there multiple corroborating pieces of evidence other than literally just that one video?  More trustworthy.

That is, in fact, how people judge today, when it's generally known that there are deepfakes.

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Ja hard to say, I haven't studied it and I don't know from AI-video.  I don't follow how good it has gotten.  But I will observe there are different kinds of munitions depicted in the videos.  I see a mixture of incendiaries behaving in a way I don't think those really work, along with shock-wave high-explosive munitions, but those don't really look right either.

But my notion is that if narco boats are really being destroyed in international waters, neither of those types of munitions would be used.  They (the vaguely mysterious unidentified "they") would take out the boats in a way which leaves not a trace of evidence, no video, no survivors, nothing spectacular, no flotsam bigger than an empty aspirin bottle found ever.  The boats were just Bermuda-Triangled away in the dark of night by a UFO kind of outcome.  It was a flying saucer I tells ya!  But without any actual witnesses.

spike