[ExI] My review of Eliezer Yudkowsky's new book (UBI)

[Adrian Tymes]

On Mon, Oct 6, 2025 at 3:45 PM spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:
> My prediction is that they will flap around for a while, then opposition unity will crumble.  They only need a few more senate votes and they will get funding for the month of October.  Then the whole thing starts again of course, and we can look forward to more of the same until they call you John, and you explain to the senators that US debt limits don’t matter, they are a mere formality, just borrow what you need, etc.

Prediction markets are betting pretty heavily on this lasting until at
least October 15.  Personally, I'd put the 50% odds mark somewhere
near the end of October, and more likely that the Republicans in
Congress will back down than the Democrats.

Trump is just too stubborn on this sort of thing to give up any time
soon, and the polls are giving Democrats positive ratings for pushing
this so they don't have a reason to back down.  That leaves the
Republicans in Congress as the relatively weakest point.