[ExI] Hurricane intensity prediction
    John Clark 
    johnkclark at gmail.com
       
    Fri Oct 31 19:28:47 UTC 2025
    
    
  
For the last several years meteorologists have gotten quite good at
predicting the path of hurricanes, but not at predicting their intensity,
but now thanks to AI they are  good at both. The following article came
from the October 29 issue of the journal Nature:
*"**As early as 21 October — long before it was obvious that Melissa would
be a monster storm — the model predicted a 50–60% chance that it would
reach category 5, the DeepMind team says. On 23 October the model estimated
that the storm had an 80% or higher chance of reaching this most powerful
category. Melissa is entering the meteorological record books. On Tuesday
morning its central pressure was 892 millibars and it had central winds of
298 kilometres per hour, matching the record for the most powerful Atlantic
storm to make landfall. “I have been at this a long time and don’t recall
seeing a more textbook structure for a powerful hurricane.”"*
*AI model predicted Hurricane Melissa’s perilous growth
<https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-025-03539-x?utm_source=Live+Audience&utm_campaign=b3ef182c99-nature-briefing-daily-20251030&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_-33f35e09ea-50169436>
*
*John K Clark*
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