[ExI] why worse necessarily?

[spike at rainier66.com]

Our recent fire catastrophe in Spokane was human caused, but nature also
played a big role: the wind enabled a lone arsonist to destroy hundreds of
homes.

 

Generally we mark the era of modern meteorology from 1960, with the launch
of the first successful weather satellite.  TIROS-1 enabled humans to
observe and measure hurricanes out at sea.  In the 66 years of data we now
have, the record for the latest in the year for the first Atlantic hurricane
of the season, was set by Erin, which formed a tropical depression on 11
August 2025 and reached hurricane strength on 15 August.  Every other year
since 1960, there were hurricanes earlier in the season than the ides of
August.

 

Now, on 4 August, NOAA is saying there is no tropical cyclone activity
expected in the Atlantic in the next seven days, which takes us out to 11
August.  If the Atlantic doesn't get with it right away, we could have two
record setting years in a row.

 

All this leads me to a question I have long had: if climate changes, how do
we know the change is necessarily for the worse?

 

spike

-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20260804/e52b4dd2/attachment.htm>