[ExI] My prediction

[John Clark]

On Mon, Jan 5, 2026 at 5:32 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:

*> Is there any way to word your prediction such that it can be judged
> objectively like a bet on PredictIt? *


*It says "PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be
at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final ", that sounds more like
a subjective opinion than an objective fact to me. But then again these
days more and more people feel that not only do they have a right to their
own opinion they also have a right to their own facts. *


*John K Clark*





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> *From:* John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com>
> *Subject:* Re: [ExI] My prediction
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> On Sun, Jan 4, 2026 at 12:06 PM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:
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> *> **The phrase “every three days” is objective.  The phrase “…needing to
> embrace a new normal…” is not.*
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> *Yes. So what?*
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> * John K Clark*
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> *Is there any way to word your prediction such that it can be judged
> objectively like a bet on PredictIt?  Is there a way which enables it to be
> adjudicated on 1 Jan 2027?  Otherwise, we cannot know for sure if we must
> respect you everlastingly or if you must respect us everlastingly, or until
> we forget.  Without some objective measure of success, it is already
> forgotten.*
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> *spike*
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