[ExI] My prediction
Adrian Tymes
atymes at gmail.com
Mon Jan 5 16:15:19 UTC 2026
On Mon, Jan 5, 2026 at 9:50 AM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:
> …> On Behalf Of Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat
> >… many Trump backers claim that there is no such thing as a person who is neither a Trump backer nor a Biden backer
>
> Both mainstream parties do that: assume if one is not aligned with their mainstream party, they are aligned with the other.
Though there are some in the Democrats that do this too, it is not
nearly to the same extent. A vote for a third party candidate only
decreases the Democrat's chances of winning in close races if the
voter would otherwise have voted Democrat; it increases the odds in
close races if the voter would otherwise have voted Republican, and
doesn't matter when the race isn't close. More importantly,
Democratic strategists speak openly and explicitly of appealing to
independents, while Republican strategists tend to avoid doing so in
public (while privately admitting they do it too).
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