[ExI] My prediction

Darin Sunley dsunley at gmail.com
Thu Jan 15 21:38:15 UTC 2026


NATO is dead. It's been Weekend-at-Bernie's-ed since 1989, mostly because
it (and the entire post WWII international order) has made a certain class
of people very very rich, and they can buy column-inch ink by the swimming
pool.

All of the "craziness" is part of a perfectly coherent albeit massively
ambitious plan to pivot from a "America World Police" international order
to a multipolar "spheres of influence" order in which the regional
superpowers manage their own backyards and stay out of everyone else's.
Which, frankly, is the only possible recipe for lasting world peace.

The sabre rattling with Canada, Denmark, and Venezuela fit into this
framework perfectly. All of them are about ejecting Chinese influence from
the Americas. (Canada 's government, it just so happens, is owned lock,
stock, and barrell by Chinese intelligence, because they can and it wasn't
even difficult. Canadian politicians are hopeless amateurs at international
geopolitics. They've already lost a game they didn't even know they were
playing )

Reasonable people can disagree with this plan, but it is neither stupid nor
crazy. I for one am absolutely onboard - I'd rather not have another
century of "We must invade Iran because they aggressively planted
themselves in the center of our ring of military bases, and pay no
attention to my defense stock portfolio."

/Please/ don't make me rephrase this like I'm talking to a five-year-old. I
/know/ you're perfectly capable of having grown-up conversations when the
subject is about anything other than Orange Man Bad.

On Thu, Jan 15, 2026, 2:19 PM John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com> wrote:

> On Thu, Jan 15, 2026 at 3:57 PM Darin Sunley <dsunley at gmail.com> wrote:
>
> *> Ok, short words then.*
>> *The Trump Admin is made of smart people. You can disagree with them, but
>> they are not dumb, or crazy. Writing them off as dumb or crazy is dumb and
>> crazy.*
>>
>
> *Without exception every member of Mr. I Lowered Drug Prices By 1600
> Percent's administration publicly says that his idea of threatening NATO
> member Denmark with military force is a good one. There are only 3 possible
> explanations for that strange phenomenon, at least one of the following
> must be true: *
>
> *1) Every member of the administration is as crazy as the President of the
> United States . *
>
> *2) Every member of the administration is as stupid as the President of
> the United States. *
>
> *3) Every member of the administration is lying about their opinion of the
> mental state of the current President of the United States because they
> value personal power more than truth or the Constitution. *
>
> *John K Clark*
>
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