[ExI] Just call me Nostradamus!

[John Clark]

* Blinken also wrote “Going forward, it will almost certainly find ways to
collect ‘fees’ for safe passage that will help entrench the regime.”*


*Whatever happened to the "regime change" that POTUS assured us would
occur? We do have a new "supreme leader" but he is decades younger and much
more hardline then the previous "supreme leader". *

*John K Clark*

*John K Clark*

On Thu, Jun 18, 2026 at 8:23 AM John Clark <johnkclark at gmail.com> wrote:

> *On May 21 of this year I made the following predictions about how the
> Iran war was going to turn out:*
>
> *"1) Iran will make a vague statement that someday somehow it will start
> thinking about maybe not having a nuclear weapon, but there would be no
> inspections and no penalty for noncompliance because there will be nothing
> specific that Iran is required to do. *
>
> *2) The US and Iran will agree to become pirate nations. Henceforth any
> ship that wishes to pass through The Strait of Hormuz without being
> attacked must hand over protection money, the extorted payments being split
> between the US and Iran. *
>
> *3) He Who Must Not Be Named will try to spin this devastating defeat into
> "the greatest victory of all time". *
>
> *4) His spin will be successful, at least among his hard-core followers,
> because they are hardwired to always believe anything he says. "*
>
> *Number 1, 3 and 4 turned out to be 100% correct, Number 2 is only
> partially correct; no tolls have yet been announced but the agreement
> indicates that over time Iran may negotiate some permanent way to exercise
> sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. There is one thing I didn't predict,
> the agreement describes a pathway in which Iran could begin receiving
> billions of dollars in assets that have been frozen for decades. The end
> result is that after the US has spent tens of billions of dollars and
> depleted its arsenal of missiles **Iran is in a much stronger position
> now than it was on the day before the war started, and the deal that the US
> has signed was not nearly as good as the deal Barack Obama got 11 years ago
> with the Iran nuclear deal that our present president reneged on.   *
>
>
> *However POTUS did make a correct prediction on the first day of the war,
> he said it would only end with unconditional surrender, and he was
> certainly right about that.  *
>
> *As former Secretary of State Antony Blinken wrote yesterday "The only
> ‘achievement’ of the ceasefire is the likely re-opening of the Strait of
> Hormuz ,which was open before the war started. And we will apparently pay
> Iran to do so, in the form of waivers for the export of Iranian crude oil.
> Iran has now demonstrated the capacity to stop or slow the passage of oil,
> natural gas, fertilizer and other critical products upon which so much of
> the world depend.”*
>
>
> *John K Clark*
>
>
>
>
-------------- next part --------------
An HTML attachment was scrubbed...
URL: <http://lists.extropy.org/pipermail/extropy-chat/attachments/20260618/c6228398/attachment.htm>