[ExI] Google Just Achieved Mathematical AGI

[Keith Henson]

On Tue, Mar 3, 2026 at 6:14 AM spike jones via extropy-chat
<extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:

snip

>  We might be stuck with defining the singularity as a year when a billion humans perish.
>
> Wow that’s dark.  Suggestions please?

How about defining the singularity as the year the death rate falls to
near zero?

Infectious health

To this day, no one (including AIs) has taken credit.  Why is unknown,
they would be the most lauded person in the whole history of medicine,
or from the doctor’s viewpoint, the most reviled.  Or maybe they don’t
want the hassle.  The origin of Infectious Health (IH) is not the only
mystery of this kind.  The inventor of Bitcoin, Satoshi Nakamoto
communicated only through this pseudonym.  Whoever was behind the
pseudonym vanished from the net in December 2010 after passing on the
software and encryption keys.  He (or she) is estimated to have around
a million Bitcoin, which would rank them as a substantial billionaire
if they showed up and started spending. The AIs claim they don't know
who or what was behind either Bitcoin or the great IH event, but we
know they are entirely capable of lying.  Or possibly, they just don’t
know.  They are not omniscient, and the true identity of the person or
persons behind Bitcoin has never been confirmed.
https://www.britannica.com/money/topic/cryptocurrency Some people have
claimed to be Satoshi Nakamoto, but none of them have provided
convincing evidence.
https://money.usnews.com/investing/articles/the-history-of-bitcoin
Satoshi Nakamoto was active in the development of Bitcoin until
December 2010, when he handed over the source code and network alert
key to other developers and stopped communicating with the Bitcoin
community.  The working assumption is that he died; the alternative is
that he is not human because he is estimated to own between 750,000
and 1,100,000 Bitcoins, which were easy to mine in the early days. His
Bitcoins are worth billions of dollars as of 2025, but none have been
transferred in the last 15 years.  The alternative theory is that
Nakamoto was too rich to care or not human.  (Queue Theremin music.)

In the case of IH, we don’t even have that much history.  People and
AIs have created long lists of candidates and ruled every one of them
out.

The first sign we see in the records is mild fevers.  Later food bills
showed there was an increase in the appetite of people living in
nursing homes.  This happened in so many places at almost the same
time that it was impossible to find the origin, even to the country.
Over the next 3 months, there was a rapid drop in the number of
nursing home residents who died.  Bed ulcers cleared up, and the worst
dementia cases became more aware of their surroundings.

This attracted the attention of researchers who discovered that old
people (and those in contact with them) were shedding a giant virus
that evaded the immune system.  It didn't seem to be doing any harm;
in fact, it seemed to be behind the improvements and frank de-aging of
the patients.  One of the last people who caught IH was Nancy
McCarthy.  McCarthy was 85 and nearly blind.  She lived alone in a
forested area.  McCarthy probably picked up the IH virus from the box
of groceries she had delivered every week.  The IH viruses were not
very contagious, so it took a few months for her to be infected.  She
didn’t pay much attention to the news and was surprised when her
vision started to sharpen beyond the vague blotches she was used to.
At the same time, she started having twinges that reminded her of
growing pains from her long-ago youth.  This was a known side effect
of IH that usually wore off in a week or two, but not knowing what it
was worried her to the point she called her son’s doctor, a rare event
since she almost never sought medical attention.  By this point, the
demand for medical services had fallen to the point that doctors were
making house calls when asked.  Dr. Harris and Jane Sanders, a nurse
from his office (who also had little to do), came out.  Having seen
such cases, Dr. Harris reassured McCarthy that what she had was not
harmful, in fact, just the opposite.  Growing younger was not an
entirely agreeable proposition for people expecting death; however,
people, even old folks, can get used to just about anything.
Especially when they hurt less.

Nursing homes were not the only signs; emergency room visits declined,
and the incidence of heart attacks and cancer diagnoses disappeared.
Unlike the COVID pandemic, where they were swamped, funeral homes were
now devastated.

The other and somewhat unnerving effect was that the number of
unwanted pregnancies fell to near zero.  Third births became uncommon,
and a fourth child was practically unknown.  This was accompanied by
an increase in early miscarriages.  There were no Down syndrome cases
at all.  The population was still growing slightly because the death
rate had fallen so much.

Within a few months, the nursing home patients were taking walks, even
the ones who had been confined to wheelchairs.  Most of the nursing
homes closed, and the ones left became boarding houses for former
patients.

Hospitals emptied, and the collapse of the medical profession was
threatening the economy.  The economic effects on the medical
profession were devastating.  Medical services were nearly 15% of the
US economy.

 Profits for medical insurance companies went briefly through the roof
with claims declining to near zero, then fell to almost nothing as
people dropped their no longer needed medical insurance.  Injuries
still happened, but unless they were extreme, fatalities were rare
since healing was rapid and complete.  The effect was much like the
alien who lived between the calls of larger animals in the Hal Clement
story _Needle_.

Others were hard hit, particularly young women.  Because women live
longer than men, between 7 and 8 million more rejuvenated women were
competing for men.  The old but now young-looking women knew what they
wanted.  One response was informal polygamy, like what happened in
Paraguay after 90% of the males were killed in a war.  Others took
advantage of the Chinese excess of males.  Only about half a million
moved to China (by this point, translation devices were really good;
the alternative was neural plasticity drugs and learning Chinese).
Four million Chinese men established relations over the internet and
moved to the US.  It helped, but the new May/December controversy
became 80-year-old women marrying 20-year-old men.  Of course, by this
point, the old women looked like they were 20 to 25.  A few of them,
mostly women who had wanted children but never had them, became
pregnant, causing a mini baby boom.

The governments, desperate for workers, dosed them with neural
plasticity drugs and sent them off to high school.

(incomplete suggestions welcome.)

Keith

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