[ExI] This Fly is LIVING in the Matrix

John Clark johnkclark at gmail.com
Thu Mar 12 10:19:33 UTC 2026


On Wed, Mar 11, 2026 at 9:58 PM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat <
extropy-chat at lists.extropy.org> wrote:


> * >> > Hopefully we'll see an uploaded mouse by 2040.*
>>
>>
>> * >> Until recently I would've said that's probably a pretty accurate
>> date, but very recently it has become apparent that in about a year an AI
>> will be a better AI researcher than any human, and once an iterative
>> virtuous cycle like that takes hold all bets are off when it comes to
>> dates.*
>
>
> * > "By 2040" includes the degree of acceleration I expect AI to lend.*


*Even when the intelligence of the most intelligent thing on the planet was
a constant it was notoriously difficult to make predictions, but now when
the level of intelligence is no longer a constant but a variable that
increases at an exponential rate, prediction has become many orders of
magnitude more difficult, and we must treat any predicted date with far
more skepticism. I can see no scientific reason why a mouse or a human will
never be uploaded, but I don't feel comfortable giving a date when that
will happen.*

* John K Clark*
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