[ExI] Trump suggests letting Iran ‘take out’ Los Angeles and San Diego

[John Clark]

On Fri, Oct 9, 2026 at 7:53 PM <spike at rainier66.com> wrote:


*> Would you like to restate your comment please John?*



*No thanks, I'm good. *

*ME: In the 2016 presidential election, if the libertarian vote had gone
for the Democratic candidate, would Donald Trump still have won the
electoral college*

*GPT: "*It depends on which states those Libertarian voters lived in. If
every voter who supported Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson in 2016 had
instead voted for Democrat Hillary Clinton, *the Electoral College result
could have changed dramatically.*

The official results show that Donald Trump won 304 electoral votes to
Clinton's 227 in the Electoral College tally reported by the National
Archives. Gary Johnson received approximately 4.49 million popular votes
nationwide.

The key is that presidential elections are decided state by state, not by
the national popular vote.
The five key states

Here are the states where Johnson's vote total exceeded Trump's margin of
victory, using the state results published by the American Presidency
Project.

State

Trump's margin over Clinton

Johnson's votes

Electoral votes

Florida

112,911

207,043

29

Pennsylvania

44,292

146,715

20

Michigan

10,704

172,136

16

Wisconsin

22,748

106,674

10

Arizona

91,234

106,327

11

Under your hypothetical, *Clinton would have won all five states if every
Johnson voter had instead voted for her* and all other votes remained
unchanged.

That would transfer 86 electoral votes from Trump to Clinton. *Nebraska's
2nd Congressional District provides another possible flip*: Trump won that
district by 6,534 votes, while Johnson received 13,245 votes there. If
those votes all transferred to Clinton, *she would gain one additional
electoral vote.*

Bottom line: Under this strict hypothetical, *Clinton would have won the
Electoral College, with an illustrative result of 319 electoral votes to
Trump's 219*, assuming the other state results stayed unchanged and
electors voted according to those results."

* John K Clark*

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