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<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>I think the figure was generated from the odds of
all those names being buried together. </FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2></FONT> </DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2>Gina</FONT></DIV>
<DIV><FONT face=Arial size=2><A
href="http://www.nanogirl.com">www.nanogirl.com</A> </FONT></DIV>
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<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial">----- Original Message ----- </DIV>
<DIV
style="BACKGROUND: #e4e4e4; FONT: 10pt arial; font-color: black"><B>From:</B>
<A title=sentience@pobox.com href="mailto:sentience@pobox.com">Eliezer S.
Yudkowsky</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>To:</B> <A
title=extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org
href="mailto:extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org">ExI chat list</A> </DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Sent:</B> Tuesday, February 27, 2007 5:00
PM</DIV>
<DIV style="FONT: 10pt arial"><B>Subject:</B> Re: [extropy-chat] Tomb of
Jesus?</DIV>
<DIV><BR></DIV>Gina Miller wrote:<BR>> Yes the names are common, and when
asked about this, the response from <BR>> the director of the movie (on the
CNN channel) was that statisticians <BR>> were given the data, and when you
add a person who is born to a father <BR>> with a specific name, the number
drops, when you add a brother, it drops <BR>> even further, when you add a
mother, it is not so common, resulting in <BR>> the statistics of 600 to 1
that this would the family. That's not too <BR>> shabby, considering that
in current day DNA testing, if your number is 1 <BR>> in 200 they consider
you related.<BR><BR>Dollars to donuts that 600 to 1 figure is a likelihood,
not a posterior. <BR> So if there were more than 600 tombs out there,
you go figure.<BR><BR>-- <BR>Eliezer S.
Yudkowsky
<A href="http://singinst.org/">http://singinst.org/</A><BR>Research Fellow,
Singularity Institute for Artificial
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