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<DIV><STRONG><FONT face=Verdana size=2> "Eliezer S. Yudkowsky"
<</FONT></STRONG><A href="mailto:sentience@pobox.com"><STRONG><FONT
face=Verdana size=2>sentience@pobox.com</FONT></STRONG></A><STRONG><FONT
face=Verdana size=2>></FONT></STRONG></DIV>
<DIV>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">> This, to me, suggests that I
am confused, not that</SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">> I have successfully
described the way things are; <o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">I think your confusion comes from
2 areas:<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">1) The ambiguous nature of
probability. Is it an intrinsic part of something or just a measure of our
ignorance? If </SPAN></B><st1:City><st1:place><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">Copenhagen</SPAN></B></st1:place></st1:City><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"> is right then something is
frequent because it is probable and probability is a fundamental aspect of the
universe. If Many Worlds is right then something is probable because it is
frequent and probability is not unique but depends on the amount of ignorance of
the observer. If you discount Many Worlds then there is only one chance in 10
million of ever making those trillion copies of you so you should expect not to
win the lottery.<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana">2) If I make an exact copy of you
and run Eliezer 2 in parallel and in complete synchronization with Eliezer
1<SPAN style="mso-spacerun: yes"> </SPAN>for an hour and then merge them
back together again your subjective experience has not doubled, it has not
changed a bit. If Eliezer 2 is ALMOST the same as Eliezer 1 then when I merge
the two of you your subjective experience will have almost not changed.
<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"><o:p> </o:p></SPAN></B></P>
<P class=MsoNormal style="MARGIN: 0in 0in 0pt"><B><SPAN
style="FONT-SIZE: 14pt; FONT-FAMILY: Verdana"> John K Clark
<o:p></o:p></SPAN></B></P></DIV></BODY></HTML>