<div class="gmail_quote">2010/7/18 Frank McElligott <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:Frankmac@ripco.com">Frankmac@ripco.com</a>></span><br><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="border-left: 1px solid rgb(204, 204, 204); margin: 0pt 0pt 0pt 0.8ex; padding-left: 1ex;">
<font size="2" face="Arial">What she now knows is that the odds have
improved(changed) from a sucker bet, which the lottery is, to a one that
she has a good chance of winning., all the tickets bought were losers, and the
remaining tickets not yet purchased contain the winner. More important every day
that goes by her odds improve.More losinf tickets are bought and removed
from the pool. Now if she has kept a record of average days before the winning
ticket is bought, throws out the outliers, she will improve her chances even
more. </font></blockquote></div><br>I am wondering by how much the odds improve each day and whether or not the risk is any greater than traditional investment. There's a payoff between risk and rate of return on investment, of course, and playing initially with the 1-in-175-million odds for a Mega Millions game is pretty crazy (although maybe not crazy for the $1 it costs?). Still, if by investing $20M in tickets you're able to get a 40% chance of tripling your money (and 60% chance of just completely losing it of course), how does that work out? Hm.<br clear="all">
<br>- Bryan<br><a href="http://heybryan.org/">http://heybryan.org/</a><br>1 512 203 0507<br>