If one does this cost analysis to Columbus or Magellan's missions what would obtain?<div>Were economical missions in the short range?</div><div>Giovanni</div><div><br></div><div><div><br><br><div class="gmail_quote">On Fri, Jul 22, 2011 at 4:39 PM, Keith Henson <span dir="ltr"><<a href="mailto:hkeithhenson@gmail.com">hkeithhenson@gmail.com</a>></span> wrote:<br>
<blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:1px #ccc solid;padding-left:1ex;">On Wed, Jul 20, 2011 at 4:24 PM, Damien Broderick <<a href="mailto:thespike@satx.rr.com">thespike@satx.rr.com</a>> wrote:<br>
<br>
> And here we are on the 42nd anniversary of the first Moon landing. Two<br>
> generations later, just about. No Luna City. Not even a Luna Hovel. Sigh.<br>
<br>
Freeman Dyson explained why in 1979. I talked him (and the<br>
publishers) into letting the L5 News print a chapter from _Disturbing<br>
the Universe._ You can read it here:<br>
<br>
<a href="http://www.nss.org/settlement/L5news/L5news/L5news7908.pdf" target="_blank">http://www.nss.org/settlement/L5news/L5news/L5news7908.pdf</a><br>
<br>
The bottom line is that transport into space is 10,000 times too<br>
expensive for space to be colonized.<br>
<br>
That's largely due to the small payload fraction, which in turn is a<br>
direct consequence of an exhaust velocity which is half the delta V<br>
needed to reach earth orbit.<br>
<br>
Chemical fuels just won't do it.<br>
<br>
But in recent years other ways have opened up, relatively low cost,<br>
high efficiency, solid state laser diodes and low cost microwave<br>
generators. It's not entirely clear how to best exploit such beamed<br>
energy sources, but they both offer exhaust velocity up in the same<br>
range as the 9 km/s needed to get into orbit.<br>
<br>
It's still too expensive for self funded space colonies, but if this<br>
works out, it will only be 2 orders of magnitude too expensive rather<br>
than 4.<br>
<br>
Keith<br>
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</blockquote></div><br></div></div>