<html><body><div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:times new roman, new york, times, serif;font-size:12pt"><div style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; font-size: 12pt;"><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;">Rafal Smigrodzki <rafal.smigrodzki@gmail.com> wrote:</span><br></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; font-style: normal;"><span style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; font-size: 12pt;"><br></span></div><div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: transparent; font-style: normal; font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif;"><span style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; font-size: 12pt;">> ## Again, this is the right spirit: You made a falsifiable, logical</span><br></div><div style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; font-size: 12pt;"><div
style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; font-size: 12pt;"><div class="y_msg_container">> prediction and you are willing to update your beliefs if the<br>> prediction is falsified. Now we just need for the data to come in.</div><div class="y_msg_container"><br></div><div class="y_msg_container">Exactly. Thanks, Rafal.</div><div class="y_msg_container"><br></div><div class="y_msg_container">Gordon</div><div class="y_msg_container"><br></div> </div> </div> </div></body></html>