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Gordon,<br>
<br>
Part of my prediction is that in a few years, you and James will
see how wrong and incorrect your reasoning is. How you are
placing too much value on things that don't matter at all, while
completely missing or being ignorant of much of what really does
matter.<br>
<br>
So are you and James saying that it isn't possible for very
intelligent people to have real rational ways of seeing something,
like a particular investment, is a sure thing, that the hurdling,
fearful crowd, including you and I, may still, mistakenly, think
is far less of a sure thing, than it really, rationally, and
intelligently, should be considered to be?<br>
<br>
Brent Allsop<br>
<br>
On 8/8/2013 3:46 PM, Gordon wrote:<br>
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<blockquote
cite="mid:1375998402.36565.YahooMailNeo@web121204.mail.ne1.yahoo.com"
type="cite">
<div style="color:#000; background-color:#fff; font-family:times
new roman, new york, times, serif;font-size:12pt">
<div><span style="font-family: Arial; font-size: 13px;">Brent
Allsop <a class="moz-txt-link-rfc2396E" href="mailto:brent.allsop@canonizer.com"><brent.allsop@canonizer.com></a> wrote:</span><br>
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<div style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); font-size: 16px; font-family:
'times new roman', 'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span style="font-size:
12pt;"> </span><br>
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<div style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times,
serif; font-size: 12pt;">
<div style="font-family: 'times new roman', 'new york', times,
serif; font-size: 12pt;">
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<div class="yiv3770121641"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"><span style="">>>
</span>"Many
things could disrupt that trend."</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641"><span
style="font-size:12pt;">> I don't by this at
all.<span style="">
</span>Nothing could disrupt it....</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"><br>
</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size:12pt;">Wow. You should start a
camp on your canonizer site for Religious
Believers in Bitcoin. :)</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 12pt; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"><br>
</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="background-color:
transparent;"><span style="font-size: 12pt;">M</span><span
style="font-size: 12pt;">ost people have enough
sense to understand it is still highly
speculative. </span><span style="font-size: 12pt;
background-color: transparent;">If your level of
certainty was common, bitcoin would already be
trading at $100,000 or more. </span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size: 12pt;"><br>
</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size: 12pt;">>> </span><span
style="font-size: 12pt;">"If
you look at the sales of hula hoops in the 60s"</span><br>
</div>
<div class="yiv3770121641"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"> </span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641"><span
style="font-size:12pt;">>I can't believe you
think Bitcoins is anything close to Hula
Hoops.<span style=""> </span></span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size:12pt;"><br>
</span></div>
<div class="yiv3770121641" style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0);
font-size: 16px; font-family: 'times new roman',
'new york', times, serif; background-color:
transparent; font-style: normal;"><span
style="font-size:12pt;">Bitcoin could turn out to
be a passing fad. At this early stage, we simply
don't know for sure. I agree that its outlook is
positive, and I have a sizable chunk of my own
money invested in it, but I'm not so naive as to
believe it is a sure thing. There no sure things
in the financial markets, Brent. Take it from me.
I was in the business for many years. People paid
for my advice. It's free to you.</span></div>
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</blockquote>
<br>
You're only saying that because there has never been a sure
financial bet before now! Don't you yourself always claim, past
performance is no guarantee of the future! ;) I completely agree,
for what I believe to be much more rational reasons than just things
like past performance, or any of your other, to me, arguments that
just seem to me to be similarly as mistaken as this one.<br>
<br>
So didn't Gordon Moore call his predictions "law like", and didn't
many other people, recognize the validity of this 'law' and
intelligently use such to get rich, way ahead other people in the
silicone industry...., long before most of the bleating world saw
the rational and unmistakable reasons for why it is still almost as
much of a consistent law (and rationally knowable as such, since
before Moore noticed such) as Bitcoin has been to date?<br>
<br>
Brent Allsop<br>
<br>
<br>
<br>
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