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<div class="moz-cite-prefix">I don't know if this has already
mentioned in this thread, but my colleagues Carl Frey and Mike
Osborne has done a pretty intriguing study of what jobs are at
risk from AI:<br>
<a
href="http://theconversation.com/machines-on-the-march-threaten-almost-half-of-modern-jobs-18485">http://theconversation.com/machines-on-the-march-threaten-almost-half-of-modern-jobs-18485</a><br>
<a
href="http://www.futuretech.ox.ac.uk/future-employment-how-susceptible-are-jobs-computerisation-oms-working-paper-dr-carl-benedikt-frey-m">http://www.futuretech.ox.ac.uk/future-employment-how-susceptible-are-jobs-computerisation-oms-working-paper-dr-carl-benedikt-frey-m</a><br>
They have a list at the end. Don't aim at the high probability
occupations for a career. <br>
<br>
On 2013-09-26 02:37, spike wrote:<br>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D">I
think I went off on a tangent: advertising rather than
your point: robo-burger will eliminate low-end jobs.
Here’s the scoop John: my job was eliminated by
technology as well, and it was my own fault. I invested
years into learning a bunch of controls techniques that
were perfectly suited for software. Matlab and Simulink
can do everything I did and a lot more, it never gets
tired, it doesn’t ask for raises. Shelly’s job has a
half-life I would now estimate in months at best, for
all the same reasons. Our fault: we should have
foreseen that our specialized knowledge could be
automated. It was.</span></p>
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That is the problem for a lot of the jobs on the list in the paper -
they rely on a specific skill, rather than general creative
intelligence, dexterity or some other broader, hard to automate
thing. Everything that could be done by an algorithm will be done by
an algorithm, so one better find the part of the job that is
non-algorithmic and leverage it.<br>
<br>
My data mining skills will be irrelevant soon, but hopefully not my
ability to put the results into a delectable theoretical package or
do weird cross-links between disciplines.<br>
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Ja, that automated restaurant thing is still cool
though. I will eat there, even if some big evil
corporation is making a buttload of money while the
human former-burger flippers are turned out of one of
the lowest-end jobs our technologically advanced society
can imagine. I don’t have the answers to that. My own
memories of working in one of those places is of
unbroken misery, and I had the best job in the place.
As soon as I got a chance to do beekeeping, I jumped on
that like a ton of linemen on a loose football and never
looked back. I did roofing in Florida in the
summertime; even that job was better than fast food, oy
vey.</span></p>
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There are many jobs that we almost have a moral duty to eliminate.<br>
<br>
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<p class="MsoNormal" style="margin-bottom:12.0pt"><span
style="color:#1F497D">We are a species that needs to
work. We want to work. So let’s work at that. Why not?
Even if we want to argue there is plenty of
oil/coal/natural gas/thorium/pick your favorite, there is
little downside to getting humanity going on building
rooftop solar everywhere while we wait for the other
stuff. We want to work, and that’s a task.</span></p>
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It is also a meaningful task, which is important. As Dostoyevsky
said, "In order to destroy a man there is nothing more terrible than
to give him meaningless work".<br>
<br>
Now off to work! (in this case, explaining my work to suits in order
to make a sponsor look good. I see it as cultural anthropology of
the business world)<br>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">--
Dr Anders Sandberg
Future of Humanity Institute
Oxford Martin School
Oxford University
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