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<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 06/11/2013 02:17, spike wrote:<br>
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<p class="MsoNormal"><span
style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D">OK
so this makes me think it is very possible that there is
something very fundamentally wrong with both models. In the
first case, we explain the silence everywhere by recognizing
the probability of what happened here must be on the order
of 1E-20. That compels me to just say something must be
wrong with it. Anders suggested the Great Filter model is
more likely, but even then, it just feels to me (ja, I
recognize the universe doesn’t care how I feel) that
occasionally some detectible signal would leak past the
Great Filter.</span></p>
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<br>
Note that crazy coincidence is also a Great Filter argument, it just
claims that the probability of a habitable planet times the
probability of life times the probability of intelligence is
super-small. <br>
<br>
But yes, something important is still missing. <br>
<br>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">--
Anders Sandberg,
Future of Humanity Institute
Oxford Martin School
Faculty of Philosophy
Oxford University </pre>
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