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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body bgcolor=white lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #B5C4DF 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif";color:windowtext'>>…</span></b><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Tahoma","sans-serif";color:windowtext'> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Anders Sandberg<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [ExI] The Republican Party Isn't Really the Anti-Science Party<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal>On 2013-11-13 03:50, spike wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'> </span>I have been following hurricanes for years now after being told they would get more frequent and more violent. This year has been eerie quiet in the Atlantic. Do let us hope that doesn’t point to global cooling. Warming would be OK, cooling, not.<o:p></o:p></p></blockquote><p class=MsoNormal><br><span style='color:#1F497D'>>…</span>Hurricane numbers are a bad indicator for climate: you get very few data points even in a high hurricane year.<br><br><span style='color:#1F497D'>>…</span>I am always annoyed at how many people confuse weather - the stochastic outcomes - with climate - the underlying parameters.-- Dr Anders Sandberg<o:p></o:p></p><pre><span style='color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>Ja, agreed. Most of us here do understand the difference between weather and climate. This is a special problem we see specifically with the global warming debate, because it is tangled in politics, which is subject to change as fast as the weather. Note in the internet archives how political agents used the super destructive hurricane Katrina for political leverage back in the peak days of global warming interest of 2005 (by predicting more and stronger hurricanes) compared to the internet traffic on the same topic today.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>We can only hope to see a similar interest level in sustainable energy sources as we saw in 2005 regarding hurricanes.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif";color:#1F497D'>spike<o:p></o:p></span></pre></div></body></html>