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<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 2013-12-12 06:48, spike wrote:<br>
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<div class="WordSection1">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="color:#1F497D"><o:p> <br>
</o:p></span></p>
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="color:#1F497D">This is analogous to computer chess in
a way. A long time ago, computers could play a good game at
the really fast speeds and in open positions. So a human
could beat a computer for a long time if the human would
play into super-closed positions with lots of blocked pawns
and long pawn chains. So computers gradually got better,
but for a long time, you could beat one if you knew how to
play its weaknesses, but if it managed to tear open the
position, forget it, you might as well climb in the coffin
and pull the lid shut behind you.</span></p>
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</blockquote>
<br>
This is exactly what Kasparov said too. So after Deep Blue he very
much took a "if you can't beat em', join em'" view and started
freeform chess. He is currently interested in constructing smarter
ways of pooling human and machine intelligence for solving important
problems (like political decisionmaking). <br>
<br>
<span style="color:#1F497D"><o:p></o:p></span>
<blockquote cite="mid:049d01cef706$1cdef000$569cd000$@att.net"
type="cite">
<div class="WordSection1">
<p class="MsoNormal" style="background:white"><span
style="color:#1F497D">This whole thing again has me thinking
about singularity scenarios where software surpasses human
abilities in a lot of areas but the big S Singularity still
doesn’t happen.</span></p>
</div>
</blockquote>
<br>
As Damien wrote, besides the Spike there is the Swell. We might get
a very broad singularity.<br>
<br>
If you can use the software to amplify your capabilities or a group
can do it, then you might get a big S singularity even without AI.
Many technologies seem to be mutually amplifying: if you can build
nanotech you can make a lot of computer power to brute-force some
classes of problem, with lower-case ai you can do a lot of automated
engineering and research, a bit of intelligence amplification may
allow better strategizing, and so on. It will be fun to see how it
works out. <br>
<br>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">--
Dr Anders Sandberg
Future of Humanity Institute
Oxford Martin School
Oxford University
</pre>
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