<html><head></head><body><strong>Från:
</strong>
BillK <pharos@gmail.com>
<br><div><br><blockquote class="mori" style="margin:0 0 0 .8ex;border-left:2px blue solid;padding-left:1ex;">Science is heroic, with a tragic (statistical) flaw<br>Mindless use of statistical testing erodes confidence in research</blockquote></div><br>I am reading Alex Reinharts "Statistics done wrong: the woefully complete guide" ( http://www.statisticsdonewrong.com/ ) and enjoying it. <br><br>The central problem is that we aim for certainty about uncertain things, and then make models of them that we become overconfident about - after all, the numbers coming out of the model are very precise. Shame about the model being wrong, though, and this error being hidden behind a lot of math.<br><br>But if science has it rough, at least it is rather numerically literate and knows it has a problem. After three years of talking to insurance I realize that a lot of important business is made on far dodgier assumptions.<br><br><br>Anders Sandberg,
Future of Humanity Institute
Philosophy Faculty of Oxford University</body></html>