<html><head><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body dir="auto"><div>Was this prediction based on anything more than gut feel?</div><div id="AppleMailSignature"><br></div><div id="AppleMailSignature">Also, isn't progress often nonlinear and perhaps many of the predictions are linear? My guess is in this field more rapid advances are happening now where past progress was more fits and starts.<br><br><div style="line-height: normal;"><font><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">Regards,</span></font></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><br></span></div><div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">Dan</span></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"> Sample my Kindle books via:</span></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><a href="http://author.to/DanUst">http://author.to/DanUst</a></div></div></div><div><br></div></body></html>