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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body bgcolor=white lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>On 2016-05-01 12:10, Rafal Smigrodzki wrote:<br><br><o:p></o:p></p><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><p class=MsoNormal>I came across the following: <o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><a href="http://globalprioritiesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Global-Catastrophic-Risk-Annual-Report-2016-FINAL.pdf">http://globalprioritiesproject.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/04/Global-Catastrophic-Risk-Annual-Report-2016-FINAL.pdf</a><br clear=all><o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>### It lists global warming (renamed "climate change") right at the top, even ahead of nuclear war. Really? This is so ridiculous it beggars imagination.<o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></blockquote><p class=MsoNormal><br><br><span style='color:windowtext'><o:p></o:p></span></p><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'>In the USA, we have what seems like a concerted effort on the part of public elementary schools to instill in the students an awareness of climate change. If you talk to the students, they really really misunderstand the risk, and I think teachers do as well. But plenty of the students believe the planet will be 10C warmer when they reach adulthood than it is now.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'>There must be ways to cash in on this belief by betting against it, by betting on climate non-change. But we must act quickly, for a generation from now, I suspect plenty of these same students now grown will have an inherent distrust of the process that led them to believe a falsehood. Perhaps they will come to distrust any scientific research when politicians take it up at any level. Children’s lives are filled with changes that are big and fast. We older ones realize that big changes happen very slowly if they ever change at all.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'>If Science Inc. expects climate will change 1 degree C in 50 years, the students come away with the notion that climate will change 10C in 5 years. Otherwise, the grownups wouldn’t make such a big deal over it. 10C in five years will not happen. We can bet on it. We can cash in on it.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'>It feels like money is being tragically left unmade here.<o:p></o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'><o:p> </o:p></span></pre><pre><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif;color:windowtext'>spike<o:p></o:p></span></pre></div></body></html>