<html><head><meta http-equiv="content-type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8"></head><body dir="auto"><div>On May 5, 2016, at 10:01 PM, spike <<a href="mailto:spike66@att.net">spike66@att.net</a>> wrote:<span style="font-family: Calibri, sans-serif; font-size: 11pt;"> </span></div><blockquote type="cite"><div class="WordSection1"><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><b><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">From:</span></b><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"> extropy-chat [<a href="mailto:extropy-chat-bounces@lists.extropy.org">mailto:extropy-chat-bounces@lists.extropy.org</a>] <b>On Behalf Of </b>John Clark<br><br><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">On Thu, May 5, 2016 at 4:53 PM, spike <<a href="mailto:spike66@att.net" target="_blank">spike66@att.net</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><div><blockquote style="border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in"><div><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">>>… </span><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">Perhaps I should have stated it thus: what if the FBI recommends indictment</span><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></blockquote><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">>…Let's make a bet , if the FBI recommends a indictment of Mrs. Clinton<o:p></o:p></span></p><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">before November 8 2016 I will give you $200, if they don't you only have to give me $10. </span><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><div><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">That's 20 to 1 odds… John K Clark<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">Well John, I am not a betting man, but sure I will take you up on that one. I won’t even whine if I lose. We have plenty of witnesses eager to jump my ass should I offer the slightest milli-whine. {8^D<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">My speculation: the meme FBI will recommend indictment to the AG before 8 November 2016 is worth more than 5 cents today. You are offering me 200 shares at $.05, I am buying them all.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif"><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class="MsoNormal"><span style="font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Calibri Light",sans-serif">This will be a new one: you have proposed bets in the forum before, but I don’t recall anyone ever taking you up on anything. {8-]</span></p></div></div></div></div></blockquote><br><style><!--
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--></style><div><div><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">On betting, I believe economist Bryan Caplan has an interesting approach:</span></div><div id="AppleMailSignature"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><br></span></div><div id="AppleMailSignature"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><a href="http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2015/09/whats_libertari.html">http://econlog.econlib.org/archives/2015/09/whats_libertari.html</a></span></div><div id="AppleMailSignature"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><br></span></div><div id="AppleMailSignature"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">I wouldn't take John's bet because I think he's right on that one. My speculation here -- which I won't bet on ;) -- is what's her name has enough dirt on many in the elite that she'll take them down with her should she be indicted. (I think George H. Smith first speculated thus. If so, I've been persuaded he's right.)<br><br>But how about betting here on things that aren't political -- such as particular scientific findings or technological outcomes?<br><br></span><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">Regards,</span></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><br></span></div><div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="line-height: 20px; background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);">Dan</span></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><span style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"> Sample my Kindle books via:</span></div><div style="line-height: normal;"><a href="http://author.to/DanUst" style="background-color: rgba(255, 255, 255, 0);"><font color="#000000">http://author.to/DanUst</font></a></div></div><div><br></div></div></div></body></html>