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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces@lists.extropy.org> <b>On Behalf Of </b>Dan TheBookMan<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [ExI] Cold fusion<o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'>>…Yeah, it seems like a boiler plate sentence too.<o:p></o:p></p><div id=AppleMailSignature><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Regards,<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br><br><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Dan<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>We know the term Black Swan event, something that is so terrible there is little point in even pondering the consequences. An example: a meteor strikes earth, of sufficient size to kick up dust and debris causing mass extinctions and 99% of humanity to suffer a horrifying painful mass death.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Cold fusion is the opposite of a black swan event: if that ever worked out, it would solve so many of humanity’s most fundamental problems so cheaply and easily, there is little we could not accomplish. It would be the new dawn of humanity.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I often get the feeling we allow the unlimited marvelous consequences of cold fusion to influence our research, a kind of version of buying a hundred trillion-dollar lottery ticket when the odds of winning are a ten trillion to one. The argument could be made that such a ticket is a good deal perhaps.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>What term could we use for the opposite of a black swan event?<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>spike<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal> Sample my Kindle books at:<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;font-stretch: normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif'><a href="http://author.to/DanUst">http://author.to/DanUst</a></span><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></div></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><br>On Jun 11, 2019, at 9:09 AM, William Flynn Wallace <<a href="mailto:foozler83@gmail.com">foozler83@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Comic Sans MS";color:black'>In other words "please keep our grants going"<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Comic Sans MS";color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Comic Sans MS";color:black'>bill w<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Tue, Jun 11, 2019 at 10:50 AM Dan TheBookMan <<a href="mailto:danust2012@gmail.com">danust2012@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><p class=MsoNormal>While I’m skeptical of the original cold fusion claim, the Nature piece also had:<o:p></o:p></p><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal>“Nonetheless, a by-product of our investigations has been to provide new insights into highly hydrided metals and low-energy nuclear reactions, and we contend that there remains much interesting science to be done in this underexplored parameter space.” <o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div id="gmail-m_-7198429689239856125AppleMailSignature"><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Regards,<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><br><br><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>Dan<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal> Sample my Kindle books at:<o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p style='margin:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;font-stretch:normal'><span style='font-size:12.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif'><a href="http://author.to/DanUst" target="_blank">http://author.to/DanUst</a></span><span style='font-size:9.0pt;font-family:"Helvetica",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></div></div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-bottom:12.0pt'><br>On Jun 11, 2019, at 4:59 AM, John Clark <<a href="mailto:johnkclark@gmail.com" target="_blank">johnkclark@gmail.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>Bizarrely Google just announce in Nature the results of a secret 4 year $10,000,000 experimental investigation of cold fusion. Their bottom line conclusion:</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>"We have yet to yield any evidence of such an effect".</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><a href="https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-019-1256-6" target="_blank">Revisiting the cold case of cold fusion</a><o:p></o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>John K Clark</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></div></blockquote></div></div></blockquote></div></div></blockquote><blockquote style='margin-top:5.0pt;margin-bottom:5.0pt'><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></blockquote></div></body></html>