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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> spike@rainier66.com <spike@rainier66.com> <br><b>Sent:</b> Monday, August 10, 2020 9:19 AM<br><b>To:</b> 'ExI chat list' <extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org><br><b>Cc:</b> spike@rainier66.com<br><b>Subject:</b> RE: [ExI] Bill Gates on Covid: Most US Tests Are ‘Completely Garbage’<o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>John Clark via extropy-chat<br><b>Subject:</b> [ExI] Bill Gates on Covid: Most US Tests Are ‘Completely Garbage’<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:13.5pt'><a href="https://www.wired.com/story/bill-gates-on-covid-most-us-tests-are-completely-garbage/">Bill Gates on Covid: Most US Tests Are ‘Completely Garbage’</a></span><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:13.5pt;font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>John K Clark<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>…<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>>…Data jockeys, is the death rate in your state or nation different this year from the average of the last 5 years? By how much?...spike<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>This site says in the US, about 860 fatalities per 100k proles:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><a href="https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm">https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/fastats/deaths.htm</a></span><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>Since the start of covid, the Worldometer site says 165,766 in the USA have perished of or with covid, so do let us skip the whole “that’s data from half an hour ago” silliness and just estimate it will be about 170,000 a few minutes from now. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><a href="https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/">https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/</a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>There is little reason to labor past 2 significant digits for this exercise, for it is an estimate.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>The USA has a population of about 330 million, so if we take about 170k, divide by 330M, multiply by 100k, I am getting an excess death rate of about 50 fatalties per 100k over the average of about 860, which we can presume is somehow related to covid.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>So, we had 860 per 100k-prole before, now in our troubled times we get about 50 more, of or with covid. This epidemic increased our death rate by around 6 to 7%, somewhere in that range. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>UKers, and others, what happens if you do the same calculus with your state or nation? Henry, please can you do this for your neighborhood (Brazil?) and BillK please? Have we Italians among us?<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:14.0pt'>spike<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div></div></body></html>