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On 26/09/2020 15:24, spike wrote:<br>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:mailman.72.1601130278.3037.extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org">
<p class="MsoNormal">OK well, we need data to solve a scientific
puzzle. The Florida governor has lifted all quarantine
restrictions yesterday (I heard, don’t know the details.)<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">There is nothing political about it as far as
I can tell, so that shouldn’t come into play here.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">We see the new case rate is steady for the
past coupla months, so now we get to compare a restrictions
states to a big no-restrictions state.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Somebody had to do this eventually. Florida
is the state. Here we go.<o:p></o:p></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">Predictions anyone?</p>
</blockquote>
<br>
Well here's my prediction (more a hope than a prediction, really).
Cases will rise dramatically. Deaths will rise much less
dramatically, or hopefully not at all.<br>
<br>
The hypothesis here is that the virus is mutating to be less lethal,
and lifting restrictions will enable the milder form to spread
rapidly. More infections, less death (including the economic kind
caused by these restrictions). Everybody wins, including the virus
(well, maybe not literally everybody, but many more than otherwise).<br>
<br>
<pre class="moz-signature" cols="72">--
Ben Zaiboc</pre>
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