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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>…</b>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>William Flynn Wallace via extropy-chat<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [ExI] covid data<o:p></o:p></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:18.0pt;font-family:"Comic Sans MS"'>>…<span style='color:black'>Spike, I think you might have to retract your statement that there are enough vaccine meds around but they lack volunteers. That is certainly not true here - Nat'l Guard was there when I got mine. Today there are no available appts. in the Jackson area. No vaccines. I did get my second appt. so it is not affecting me. (did you think of that word in Steinbeck that sounds like 'socdolager'? ) bill w <o:p></o:p></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>BillW it depends on where you live. Some places don’t have enough vaccine, some don’t have enough trained personnel. Some have some of each. In California our governor is facing recall because rules of distribution were put in place which landed us near last place in immunizations per prole when we had enough vaccine to at least make it to middle of the pack.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>A controversial policy was not scheduling a first appointment until a second one could be confirmed. This was likely a mistake, but… mistakes happen.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Production of anything can be ramped up, but production of people that the insurance companies are willing to cover as observers cannot be ramped up as quickly, even if you have enough volunteers (which is unlikely.) There is a reason why about a million Americans a day is about as high as can be reasonably sustained, and even then, there will be spot shortages of vaccine and a persistent shortage of qualified observers.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I don’t think the vaccine is the biggest player in the shape of this data however. If we compare Canada’s data to USA, there is a very clear Thanksgiving surge in addition to Christmas/New Years, whereas Canada’s version of Thanksgiving is in October and might not involve as much (this I don’t know for sure.) It is clear enough to me that vaccines and masks and all that are factors, but this signal is dominated by in-person gatherings indoors.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>spike<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></div><div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'> <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><img width=644 height=468 style='width:6.7083in;height:4.875in' id="gmail-m_2400995194155719685Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.jpg@01D70841.80301450"><o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal>_______________________________________________<br>extropy-chat mailing list<br><a href="mailto:extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org" target="_blank">extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org</a><br><a href="http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat" target="_blank">http://lists.extropy.org/mailman/listinfo.cgi/extropy-chat</a><o:p></o:p></p></blockquote></div></div></body></html>