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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72" style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I am suffering from a severe case of confirmation bias.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I fear for poor Dr. Smigrodzki, who is surely feeling confirmation bias even more than I am:<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><a href="https://www.pnas.org/content/118/17/e2018995118#disp-formula-6">https://www.pnas.org/content/118/17/e2018995118#disp-formula-6</a><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Unless I am reading this wrong (do educate me please) MIT concluded pretty much the same thing I did over a year ago: lockdowns don’t help because people stay indoors where viruses spread best. Outdoor masking is useless. Indoors, social distancing is practically useless: viruses hang in the air a long time indoors.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>All this explains why the Sturgis bike rally was an apparent sub-spreader, the bike rallies in Florida and the spring break parties didn’t show up in the noise: those events were mostly outdoors where viruses don’t spread easily.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>It explains why the lockdowns don’t seem to be helping. It explains why outdoor mask wearing is pointless. It is all about air circulation. It took us over a year to figure out what was right in front of us the whole time.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>spike <o:p></o:p></p></div></body></html>