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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b>From:</b> spike@rainier66.com <spike@rainier66.com> <br><b>…</b><o:p></o:p></p></div></div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>>…Now it comes down to how long we believe the vaccination confers protection. I was led to believe it was 2 to 5 years. But later reports suggest we still don’t know that. Israel was a heavy early vaccinator It changes the risk/benefit ratio of the conferred immunity is significantly shorter than we thought. This Israeli data might suggest the immunity from the vaccine might be short-lived, which really does impact the risk/benefit ratio:<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><img width=479 height=304 style='width:4.9895in;height:3.1666in' id="Picture_x0020_2" src="cid:image002.jpg@01D7BB89.745218D0"><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>My apologies for grinding this subject into absurdity, but eh… that’s what I do best.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>The Israeli data seems to suggest that the immunity from the vaccine doesn’t last long or the virus easily mutates around it, so the Israelis caught a related corona virus.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>I had assumed immunity for about 2 to 5 years, but if we learn that the immunity lasts only 2 to 5 months, that would explain the Israeli experience. If we learn that the vaccine really protects for only 2 to 5 weeks, then it changes the dynamic entirely. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>We now suspect that if a medic’s error puts the vaccine into a vein, there is resulting heart damage. The risk is low of course. But if we find out it works for only 2 to 5 weeks, it is not at all clear that the vaccine is safer than not-vaccine.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>Thoughts please?<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal>spike<o:p></o:p></p></div></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>