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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72" style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>-----Original Message-----<br>From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces@lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of Stuart LaForge via extropy-chat<br><br>Subject: Re: [ExI] oh no, not this again...</p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>Quoting Spike:<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>> ...that would be a compelling theory except that Atlantic sea <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>> surface temperatures this fall are not cooler, they > are warmer. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>> This in theory should have be a very active hurricane season according <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>> to long-accepted theory.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>>…I am by no means an expert on the weather, but the standard explanation for hurricanes doesn't make sense. The high temperature of the sea surface can't drive a hurricane by itself, it needs a temperature gradient from the ocean surface to the top of the convection cell. It doesn't matter how warm the surface temps are if the upper atmosphere is too warm to get a good convective flow going. <o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>I don't have solid data, but during the volcanic eruption, the stratosphere had its moisture content increased by 10% in a few seconds in the form of superheated steam. The oceans surface is a little warmer this year, but the atmosphere is also warmer. Less of a temperature gradient means less convection means fewer storms and no hurricanes.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>But like I said, I am just broadly applying fluid dynamics to the situation, I am not a meteorologist.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>Stuart LaForge<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>_______________________________________________<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>Stuart sheesh I leave you lads for a mere three days to go hiking in the Sierras, trust you in charge of the weather, and whaddya do? NOTHING! Nada.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>Dang this is weird. Peak of the seasons, nothing out there. One measly tropical elation, one. Lotta years we have had three namers going simultaneously in mid September including a furious hurricane.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>With this flat spot in the accumulated cyclone energy curve, 2022 is right back in the running for being the second quietest year behind 1983.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>I am guessing it will pass up about half a dozen of the quiet years however.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>I am in the mood for some loud angry weather.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>spike<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><img width=559 height=583 style='width:5.8229in;height:6.0729in' id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image003.jpg@01D8C84E.A3CB3EC0"><span style='color:black'><o:p></o:p></span></p></div></body></html>