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<div class="moz-cite-prefix">On 12/10/2024 19:41, Keith Henson
wrote:<br>
</div>
<blockquote type="cite"
cite="mid:mailman.30.1728758479.20159.extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org">
<pre>I strongly suspect that technological progress will stop and we are
almost at the place where we can see this in our future.</pre>
</blockquote>
<br>
Maybe there is a limit to technological progress, after all there
are physical limits on things such as computation, energy and (as
far as we know) time, but as for how close we are to seeing those
limits, I suspect we are very far off indeed.<br>
<br>
Even if human intelligence is near the upper bound of what's
possible for intelligence (something I don't believe at all), the
possibility-space of achievable technology still seems huge. Just
thinking about nanotechnology alone (proper nanotechnology, not just
graphene in tennis racquets), which is probably possible at or near
to our current intellectual level (with the help of AI), the
possibilities are almost endless. How many more technological fields
have we just barely scratched the surface of? How many more beyond
that can we conceive of but can't yet see how to tackle? How many
exist but haven't yet been thought of?<br>
<br>
I don't think we need to worry about running out of new
technological developments. We need to worry about our own survival
(by which I mean the survival of intelligence, not just biological
humans), that's a vastly more pressing issue.<br>
<br>
Ben<br>
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