<div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif"><span style="font-family:Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif">On Tue, Nov 18, 2025 at 10:49 AM Adrian Tymes via extropy-chat <<a href="mailto:extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org">extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org</a>> wrote:</span></div></div><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b><span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">>> </span>Nobody can pinpoint the exact day a quantum computer capable of running Shor’s algorithm will become operational,</b></font></blockquote><br><font size="4" face="georgia, serif"><i>
<span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">> </span>And I am not.  The sequence of events is:<br>
* That computer comes out.<br>
* Sell your Bitcoins at this point. </i></font></blockquote><div><br></div><div><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b><span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">And a</span>t that point the price of bitcoin would have already dropped by at least 95%, probably more.<span class="gmail_default" style=""> </span> </b></font></div><div><br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><i>
<span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">> </span>* The public demo of the algorithm is run.<br>
* Then there might be a panic.</i></font><br></blockquote><div><br></div><div><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b>Might<span class="gmail_default" style="">?</span>! </b></font></div><div><br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><font size="4" face="georgia, serif"><i><span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">> </span>The panic won't happen until the public demo of the<span class="gmail_default" style=""> </span>algorithm,</i></font></blockquote><div><br></div><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b>The panic will happen as soon as the smart money realizes that such a demonstration is imminent<span class="gmail_default" style="">, so for your strategy to work you would need to be smarter than the smart money. Are you that smart? </span></b></font></div><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><font face="tahoma, sans-serif" size="4"><b><br></b></font></div><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><font face="tahoma, sans-serif" size="4"><b><span class="gmail_default" style="">John K Clark</span><br></b></font><div><br></div><div> </div></div></div>