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--></style></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><div style='border:none;border-top:solid #E1E1E1 1.0pt;padding:3.0pt 0in 0in 0in'><p class=MsoNormal><b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>….</span></b><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>> <b>On Behalf Of </b>BillK via extropy-chat<br><b>Subject:</b> Re: [ExI] My prediction<o:p></o:p></span></p></div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal>On Fri, 2 Jan 2026 at 23:18, <<a href="mailto:spike@rainier66.com">spike@rainier66.com</a>> wrote:<o:p></o:p></p></div><blockquote style='border:none;border-left:solid #CCCCCC 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 0in 6.0pt;margin-left:4.8pt;margin-right:0in'><div><div><div><div><div><div><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Ja, that is getting close, but what I still don’t see is an objective way to measure whether these advances occurred in 2026 but did not occur prior to yesterday. …</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>BillK, do query Grok 4.1 pls, as you appear to be our resident expert in how to get useful answers out of AI, a skill which I suck. I am getting better.</span><o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;mso-margin-bottom-alt:auto'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>spike</span><o:p></o:p></p></div></div></div></div></div></div></blockquote><div><p class=MsoNormal><span class=gmaildefault><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>--------------------------------------------</span></span><o:p></o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>>…<span style='color:black'>That sounds like you want the full report. not just the summary. :)<o:p></o:p></span></span></p></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>OK, I'll add it below</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>….<span style='color:black'><br><br></span><o:p></o:p></span></p><div style='mso-element:para-border-div;border:none;border-bottom:solid windowtext 1.0pt;padding:0in 0in 1.0pt 0in'><p class=MsoNormal style='border:none;padding:0in'><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>>…</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif;color:black'>These developments aren't guaranteed—predictions emphasize evaluation over evangelism, with no full AGI expected—but their convergence could create a tipping point. Economic impacts might remain modest initially (e.g., no explosive GDP growth</span><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'>…<span style='color:black'><o:p></o:p></span></span></p></div></div><div><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-family:"Arial",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>Cool thx BillK. You might have uncovered the flaw in the whole idea: regardless of how weird 2026 is, some things just won’t change at all. For us, things change nearly every day, because we read SlashDot and such. But for the people far away from the accelerating technology world, such as sub-Saharan Africa and Lincoln County West Virginia, this year and next year will be a lot like this one.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:11.0pt;font-family:"Calibri",sans-serif'>spike<o:p></o:p></span></p></div></div></div></div></body></html>