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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72" style='word-wrap:break-word'><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>-----Original Message-----<br>From: extropy-chat <extropy-chat-bounces@lists.extropy.org> On Behalf Of BillK via extropy-chat<br>Sent: Friday, 25 September, 2026 10:16 AM<br>To: Extropy Chat <extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org><br>Cc: BillK <pharos@gmail.com><br>Subject: [ExI] Why Atlantic hurricanes are missing this year</p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText> Why haven’t we had an Atlantic hurricane yet? Thank El Niño.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>The record-breaking oceanic phenomenon isn't just raising global temperatures — it's also canceling Atlantic tropical cyclones.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>Matt Simon Published Sep 25, 2026<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><a href="https://grist.org/extreme-weather/why-havent-we-had-an-atlantic-hurricane-yet-thank-el-nino/">https://grist.org/extreme-weather/why-havent-we-had-an-atlantic-hurricane-yet-thank-el-nino/</a><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText>>...The Atlantic is full of warm water right now, so the hurricanes should have fuel...<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>It isn't just warm water that fuels hurricanes. It is the temperature differential between surface and upper atmosphere. If the upper atmosphere warms more than the surface, hurricanes have less fuel even as the temperature goes up.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>>...It’s a gusty mess up there, basically.<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>----------------<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>BillK<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText>_______________________________________________<o:p></o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><o:p> </o:p></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>BillK, back in the early 1990s when they really were talking a lot more about global warming, they were telling us as the climate changes it gets worse everywhere. I wondered at the time how the weather knows which way is worse: dry areas would get drier, wet areas would get wetter, etc. But if the weather didn't know how to be bad, it wouldn't know how to get worse. On average, about half the changes should be good, ja?<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>Look at corn and wheat production in Canada in the past 30 years: it spread waaaay up into that country, which was previously less than ideal farm land. I don’t know if that had much to do with climate change, perhaps more to do with genetic modification of corn to produce with a shorter cooler growing season. But the numbers are dramatic. Last time I was up in Ontario a year ago, there were cornfields everywhere. Ontario is cool: they love yanks there. Rather they love our money there. Hey I don’t blame them: I love our money there too.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><img border=0 width=425 height=357 style='width:4.427in;height:3.7187in' id="Picture_x0020_1" src="cid:image001.jpg@01DD4CD8.F590B010"><o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>Hurricanes are bad. They wreck a lot of money on the US coasts. We are told they will get worse as surface temperatures increase, but I would say not necessarily, or if so, it may depend on how worse is defined. The storm damage cost has increased dramatically in the past century but storm fatalities have decreased in that time period.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>Update on Fay and Gonzalo: Fay restormed after briefly downgrading to a tropical depression. NOAA’s forecast has Fay destorming (or redepressioning?) tomorrow. Gonzalo is currently a tropical storm. NOAA’s prediction is for Gonzalo to destorm to a depression Monday, but there is a small chance it could become a hurricane.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>In any case, all change isn’t bad. Some change is good. I am a climate ultra-liberal that way. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'>spike<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='color:black'><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></body></html>