<div style="font-family: Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;"><div class="protonmail_quote">On Monday, 19 October 2026 at 19:56, John Clark <johnkclark@gmail.com> wrote:<br>
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            <div dir="ltr"><div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: transparent;">On Sun, Oct 18, 2026 at 9:54 AM Ben Zaiboc via extropy-chat <<a href="mailto:extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org" rel="noreferrer nofollow noopener">extropy-chat@lists.extropy.org</a>> wrote:</span></div></div><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><br></div><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex"><font size="4" face="georgia, serif"><i><span class="gmail_default" style="font-family:arial,helvetica,sans-serif">> </span>People always overestimate short-term development, and underestimate long-term development.</i></font></blockquote><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><br></div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b>Perhaps not always.<span class="gmail_default" style=""> 10 years ago most people, even most computer experts, thought that a machine passing the </span></b></font><span style="background-color: transparent;"><font size="4" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b>Turing <span class="gmail_default" style="">T</span>est</b></font><span class="gmail_default" style=""><font size="4" style="" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b style=""> was centuries in the future if it ever happened at all, but just 5 years later we were looking at it in our rearview mirror. </b></font></span></span></div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><span style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="gmail_default" style=""><font size="4" style="" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b style=""><br></b></font></span></span></div><div class="gmail_attr"><span style="background-color: transparent;"><span class="gmail_default" style=""><font size="4" style="" face="tahoma, sans-serif"><b style="">John K Clark</b></font></span></span></div><div dir="ltr" class="gmail_attr"><br></div></div><div>Perhaps we need to readjust our concept of 'long-term'. These days 5 years probably is long-term.</div></div><div>---</div><div>Ben</div><div dir="ltr"><div class="gmail_quote gmail_quote_container"><blockquote class="gmail_quote" style="margin:0px 0px 0px 0.8ex;border-left:1px solid rgb(204,204,204);padding-left:1ex">
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