[Paleopsych] NYTBR: (Posner) 'Catastrophe': Apocalypse When?
waluk at earthlink.net
Mon Jan 3 16:57:04 UTC 2005
Let's keep an eye on Mars as it warms up. Shortly we
earthlings will need to make a move and Mars might be
one good place to homestead.
----- Original Message -----
From: "Steve Hovland" <shovland at mindspring.com>
To: "'The new improved paleopsych list'"
<paleopsych at paleopsych.org>
Sent: Sunday, January 02, 2005 8:36 PM
Subject: RE: [Paleopsych] NYTBR: (Posner)
'Catastrophe': Apocalypse When?
>I think the idea that global warming is primarily
> caused by man is suspect, but I have heard
> that there is global warming on Mars as well,
> suggesting that the entire solar system is
> heating up.
> Steve Hovland
> -----Original Message-----
> From: Lynn D. Johnson, Ph.D.
> [SMTP:ljohnson at solution-consulting.com]
> Sent: Sunday, January 02, 2005 6:17 PM
> To: The new improved paleopsych list
> Subject: Re: [Paleopsych] NYTBR: (Posner)
> 'Catastrophe': Apocalypse When?
> RE: Catastrophes, have you read State of Fear by
> Crichton? I know, it
> has all the typical weaknesses of a Crichton novel,
> but he effectively
> discounts global warming as a pseudo-fact being
> pushed by politics and
> not science. So Posner's argument about warming seems
> to be based on
> this pseudo-science. Crichton demolishes the Kyoto
> treaty using actual
> peer-reviewed citations in his novel.
> The whole idea of putting lots of effort into
> avoiding an event that
> will not happen is delicious coming from an
> attorney/judge, since
> lawyers are twisting science (silicone breast
> implants cause no
> problems; Cerebral palsy is not caused by OBs not
> doing caesarians) and
> creating imaginary risks (Vioxx is a perfectly good
> drug when taken with
> some precautions).
> More to the point, can we actually estimate
> probabilities? Five day
> weather predictions are a joke -- the local weather
> people have been
> predicting huge snowstorms that never materialized --
> and so how can we
> predict whether a particle accelerator can produce a
> mini-black hole?
> Computer modeling is generally how we get such
> predictions, and such
> modeling has been 'way off, at least the ones I have
> Premise Checker wrote:
>> 'Catastrophe': Apocalypse When?
>> New York Times Book Review, 5.1.2
>> By PETER SINGER
>> Risk and Response.
>> By Richard A. Posner.
>> 322 pp. Oxford University Press. $28.
> << File: ATT00005.html >> << File: ATT00006.txt >>
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