[Paleopsych] Neil Gilbert: A New GOP?: What Do Women Really Want?
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Neil Gilbert: A New GOP?: What Do Women Really Want?
http://www.thepublicinterest.com/current/article2.html
Winter 2005
With journalists as well as social scientists continually on the
lookout for new trends, the public is regularly treated to the
discovery of social "revolutions." One of the latest concerns women
and work. In October 2003, Lisa Belkin detected an "opt-out
revolution" in her New York Times Magazine article about accomplished
women leaving high-powered jobs to stay home with their kids. Six
months later, reports on the revolution were still going strong. For
example, the March 22, 2004 cover of Time showed a young child
clinging to his mother's leg alongside the headline, "The Case for
Staying Home: Why More Young Moms Are Opting Out of the Rat Race." But
the evidence on this score is thin. Both the New York Times and Time
stories are based mainly on evocative anecdotes. Princeton college
graduates with law degrees from Harvard staying home to change diapers
may be absorbing as a human-interest story. But as the saying goes,
the plural of anecdote is not data.
The limited empirical evidence offered in support of the opt-out
revolution draws upon facts such as these: 22 percent of mothers with
graduate degrees are at home with their children, one in three women
with an MBA does not work full time, and 26 percent of women
approaching the most senior levels of management do not want to be
promoted. However, with information of this sort one needs a ouija
board to detect a social trend, let alone a revolution. The fact that
57 percent of mothers from the Stanford University class of 1981
stayed home with their young children for at least a year gives no
indication of whether the percentage of Stanford graduates remaining
at home with their children has increased, decreased, or remained the
same over time.
But we know that some things have changed over time. The main
difference between women in the 1970s and today is that a
substantially higher percentage are currently receiving degrees in law
or medicine, or obtaining graduate education in general. Between 1970
and 1997 the proportion of degrees awarded to women soared by almost
500 percent in medicine, 800 percent in law, and 1000 percent in
business. Even if one-third of all the women currently receiving these
degrees opt out of professional life, the remaining two-thirds amount
to a significant increase in women's employment in these areas over
the last three decades.
At the moment, women opting out of high-powered careers to stay home
with their children are a minor element in a profound life-style trend
that has extended over the last several decades--a development deftly
portrayed, some might say celebrated, in the media. After a six-year
run, the popular HBO series "Sex and the City" ended in 2004 with what
was widely reported as a happy ending. Each of the four heroines, in
their late thirties and early forties, found partners and commitment,
while also pursuing gratifying careers. The series finale was a paean
to love and individual fulfillment. But as for family life, these four
vibrant, successful women approaching the terminus of their
childbearing years ended up with only two marriages and one child
between them. As a mirror of society, the media shift from kids
bouncing off the walls in the "Brady Bunch" to the .25 fertility rate
in "Sex and the City" several decades later clearly reflects the
cultural and demographic trends over this period.
Today, a little over one in five women in their early forties are
childless. That is close to double the proportion of childless women
in 1976. Compared to a relatively few Ivy-League law graduates who
have traded the bar for rocking the cradle, the abdication of
motherhood poses an alternative and somewhat more compelling answer to
the question: Who is opting out of what? Women are increasingly having
fewer children and a growing proportion are choosing not to have any
children at all. And those who have children are delegating their care
to others. If there has been an "opt-out revolution," the dramatic
increase in childlessness--from one in ten to almost one in five
women--and the rise in out-of-home care for young kids would probably
qualify more than the shift of a relatively small group of
professional-class women from high-powered careers to childrearing
activities. <
The choices women make
Talk of social revolutions conveys a sense of fundamental change in
people's values--a new awakening that is compelling women to
substitute one type of life for another. The "opt-out revolution"
implies that whatever it is women really want, they all pretty much
want the same thing when it comes to career and family. It may have
looked that way in earlier times. Although the question of what women
want has plagued men for ages, it became a serious issue for women
only in modern times in the advanced industrialized countries. Before
the contraceptive revolution of the mid 1960s, biology may not have
been destiny, but it certainly contributed to the childbearing fate of
women who engaged in sexual activity. Most women needed men for their
economic survival before the equal-opportunity movement in the 1960s,
which opened access to most all careers. Moreover, the expansion of
white-collar jobs and jobs for secondary earners since the 1960s has
presented women with a viable range of employment alternatives to
traditional domestic life. Taken together, these advances in
contraceptive technology and civil rights along with labor market
changes have transformed women's opportunities to control and shape
their personal lives. As Catherine Hakim, a senior research fellow at
the London School of Economics, has pointed out, this historic shift
allows modern women to exercise work and family choices that were
heretofore unknown to all but a privileged few.
And what are these preferences? Taking family size as a powerful
indicator of life-style choice, we can distinguish at least four
general categories that form a continuum of work-family preferences
among women in the United States. At one end of the continuum are
women with three or more children. Most of these women derive most of
their sense of personal identity and achievement from the traditional
childrearing responsibilities and from practicing the domestic arts.
While all mothers tend to love their children, these women also enjoy
being around kids on a daily basis. In 1976, about 59 percent of women
over 40 years of age had three or more children. But as women gained
control over procreation and employment opportunities opened, fewer of
them took this traditional route. Today, only 29 percent of the women
over 40 years of age have three or more children.
At the other end of the continuum are women who are childless--often
by choice. Here personal success tends to be measured by achievements
in business, political, intellectual, and artistic life rather than in
the traditional realms of motherhood and childrearing. This is a
highly individualistic, work-centered group engaged in what might be
called the "postmodern" life style. As already noted, since 1976 the
proportion of childless women over the age of 40 has almost doubled,
representing 18 percent of all the women in that age cohort today.
In the middle of the life-style continuum, about 52 percent of women
currently over 40 have either one or two children. These women are
interested in paid work, but not so vigorously committed to a career
that they would forego motherhood. Although a bare majority, this
group is often seen as representative of all women--and of the women
"who want it all." In balancing the demands of employment and family,
women with one child normally tip the scales in favor of their
careers, while the group with two children leans more toward domestic
life. Thus the women clustered around the center of the continuum can
be divided into two basic categories--"neo-traditional" and
"modern"--that vary in degrees from the traditional and the postmodern
life styles.
The neo-traditional group contains families with two children whose
working mothers are physically and emotionally invested more in their
home life than their jobs, which are often part-time. Since 1976 the
proportion of women over age 40 with two children has increased by 75
percent and currently amounts to about 35 percent of the women in that
cohort. The modern family usually involves a working mother with one
child; these women are more career-oriented and devote greater time
and energy to their paid employment than neo-traditional women. The
proportion of women over 40 with one child has climbed by almost 90
percent since 1976, and currently amounts to 17 percent of the women
in that cohort.
As general types, the traditional, neo-traditional, modern, and
postmodern categories help draw attention to both the diversity of
work and family choices and to how the size of these groups has
shifted over the last three decades. Needless to say, in each group
there are women who do not fit the ideal-type--childless women who do
not work and women employed full-time with three or more children at
home. Also, there are women in each group who would have preferred to
have more or fewer children than they ended up with. And certainly
some women who would prefer not to work and to have additional
children are compelled out of economic necessity to participate in the
labor force and have fewer children. However, for most people in the
advanced industrial countries what is often considered economic
"necessity" amounts to a preferred level of material comfort--home
ownership, automobiles, vacations, cell phones, DVDs, and the like.
The trade-off between higher levels of material consumption and a more
traditional domestic life is largely a matter of individual choice.
Health has also not played much of a role in these changing family
patterns. There is no strong indication that the physical status of
the U.S. population has deteriorated over the last three decades in
any way that would systematically account for the increasing
proportion of women with only one or two children.
Many feminists like to portray women as a monolithic group whose
shared interests are dominated by the common struggle to surmount
biological determinism, patriarchal socialization, financial
dependence on men, and workplace discrimination. And they would like
public policies to reflect this supposed reality. However, in the
course of exercising preferences about how to balance the demands of
work and family, the heterogeneity of women's choices has become
increasingly evident. This substantial variance has great importance
for social policy. For it compels us to ask which groups of
women--traditional, neo-traditional, modern, and postmodern--are
really best served by today's so-called family-friendly policies.
Family policy in the United States
The conventional package of "family-friendly" public policies involves
benefits designed to reduce the tensions between work and family life,
such as parental leave, family services, and day care. For the most
part these policies address the needs of women in the neo-traditional
and modern categories--those trying to balance work and family
obligations. The costs of publicly subsidized day care are born by all
taxpayers, but the programs offer no benefits to childless women who
prefer the postmodern life style and are of little use to traditional
stay-at-home mothers. Indeed, with few exceptions, childless women in
full-time careers and those who remain at home to care for children
are not the subjects of family-related policy deliberations.
Among the advanced industrial democracies the United States is
considered a laggard in dispensing parental leave, day care, and other
public subsidies to reduce the friction between raising a family and
holding a job. The right to take 12 weeks of job-protected family
leave was initiated in 1993. But the scope of coverage is limited to
companies with 50 employees or more--and the leave is unpaid. Needless
to say, unpaid leave is not a serious option for many low-income
families. However, low-income families have benefited from the
considerable rise in public spending for child care during the 1990s.
Testifying before Congress in 2002, American Enterprise Institute
scholar Douglas Besharov estimated that between 1994 and 1999 federal
and state expenditures on child care programs climbed by almost 60
percent, from $8.9 billion to $14.1 billion, most of which served
low-income families. About $2 billion of additional support was
delivered to mainly middle- and upper-income families through the
child-care tax credit. Although $16 billion in publicly subsidized
care is no trivial sum, it amounts to less than $900 for each child
under five years of age.
The United States has moved slowly toward expanding conventional
family-friendly arrangements in part because of ideological
ambivalence in this area. Public sympathy for welfare programs that
pay unmarried women to stay home and care for their children
evaporated as the labor- force participation of married women with
children younger than six years of age multiplied threefold, from
under 20 percent in 1960 to over 60 percent in 2000. The increased
public spending on day care is largely related to making it possible
for welfare mothers to enter the labor force. Conservatives have long
argued for strengthening work requirements in welfare programs. At the
same time, many conservatives also support the idea of "putting less
emphasis on policies that free up parents to be better workers, and
more emphasis on policies that free up workers to be better
parents"--a view expressed in the Report to the Nation from the
Commission on Children at Risk. Liberals have traditionally resisted
demands that welfare recipients should work for their benefits. But
this position softens when feminists on the Left push for universal
day care and other policies that encourage all mothers to enter the
paid workplace.
European family policy
In contrast to the United States, Western European countries are well
known for having a powerful arsenal of day care and other
family-friendly benefits. For example, over 70 percent of the children
from age three years to school age in Belgium, Denmark, France,
Germany, Italy, the Netherlands, and the United Kingdom are in
publicly financed child care. Given the general direction of U.S.
policy, it may be instructive to examine how motherhood and family
life have fared in light of the changing levels of family-friendly
benefits available in the industrialized countries of the European
Union. The question is not simply are they "family friendly," but for
what kinds of families and female life styles are they friendly?
Overall, marriage and fertility rates have declined and female
labor-force participation rates have increased throughout most of the
European Union over the last few decades. In fact, the fertility rates
are currently lower than in the United States, and the proportions of
childless women aged 40 in Britain, Austria, Switzerland, and Sweden
are about the same as that in the United States. Contrary to what one
might expect, sociologist Gosta Esping-Andersen found that in 1992
European countries with high levels of female employment tended to
have higher fertility rates than those with low levels of female
employment. Based on the positive correlation from a cross-sectional
analysis of 19 countries he concludes that in some contexts female
careers and children can become fairly compatible. Similar moderately
positive results emerge from a cross-sectional analysis of fertility
rates and female employment in 12 European countries in 1997.
These positive findings, however, say more about the limits of
cross-sectional analysis than the empirical relation between fertility
and labor-force participation rates. The limitation becomes apparent
when these rates are analyzed over time. Here a completely different
picture emerges, as illustrated in Figure 1, which shows a substantial
inverse relationship between the average fertility and female
employment rates for these 12 countries between 1987 and 1997.
Although average rates, of course, could obscure different
relationship patterns in the individual countries, analyses conducted
on each country separately are highly consistent with the overall
pattern based on averages. Following the downward trend in fertility,
the decline in marriage rates between 1987 and 1998 also shows a
strong inverse correlation with labor-force participation.
As female labor-force participation rates rose, public efforts were
made in many countries to reduce the friction between work and family
life. One way to estimate the effects of these efforts is to ask: How
did patterns of public spending on family-friendly services such as
day care, household services, and other in-kind family benefits vary
with marriage and fertility rates? Although the pattern of spending on
family-friendly benefits rises and falls, overall the average rates of
public expenditure on these benefits as a percent of GDP increased
from the late 1980s to the late 1990s. This spending had an inverse
correlation with fertility rates (as shown in Figure 2) and showed a
similar relation to marriage rates. Analyses conducted separately on
each country show some variance from the pattern that emerges when
averaging results, particularly in regard to fertility rates that had
positive correlations with spending on family benefits in five (four
of which were statistically significant) of the fifteen countries.
Family-friendly policies, of course, involve more than the
Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development's (OECD)
categories of expenditure represented by family benefits. For example,
over 70 percent of the employed women in the Netherlands work in
part-time jobs that have benefits similar to those of full-time
employment, and Dutch children spend more days per year in school than
most elementary school students in the European Union. A thorough
assessment of measures that weigh into efforts to balance work and
family life would include parental leave, flexible work schedules,
number and length of school days, paid vacation time, and family
allowances. Some of these benefits are reflected in data on total
public expenditures, analyses of which reveal patterns that parallel
the findings noted above. That is, rates of total public expenditure
between 1987 and 1997 are inversely related to both fertility (see
Figure 3) and marriage rates. Still, even when total public
expenditures are considered, there are many distinctions in the
variety of measures that operate in different countries--which is to
say the findings that fertility and marriage rates generally declined
as spending on family benefits and total public expenditure have
increased can only be taken as suggestive. But what do they suggest?
Believers, skeptics, and disbelievers
Overall, these findings lend themselves to at least three broad
interpretations. Believers in the salutary effects of family-friendly
policies would argue that although such policies did not appear to
strengthen the formation of family life (by increasing the presence of
children and marriage), in the absence of these benefits the declines
would have been even sharper--that is, these benefits acted as a brake
to slow things up. As evidence, they might point to the fact that in
three of the countries--Denmark, Sweden, and Finland--that had
significant positive correlations between fertility rates and public
expenditure on family benefits, the rates of expenditure were
proportionately more than twice as high as that of most of the other
countries. This suggests that the decline can be diminished if
significant resources are invested in family services.
Invoking the mantra "correlation is not causality," skeptics find
little reason to assume that these policies are either friendly or
unfriendly to families, and read the results as confirming that
family-friendly policies make no palpable difference. They point out
that if indeed these benefits served as a brake on declining rates of
fertility and marriage, then one would expect to find the lowest
marriage and fertility rates in countries that lagged behind in the
family-friendly benefits, of which the United States is a prime
example--except that the American rates are higher than those of the
European Union. Skeptics would no doubt refer to the history of
children's allowances in France which were initiated under the Family
Code of 1939 with the explicit goal of increasing the birthrate.
Although the French birthrate increased considerably in the decades
after World War II, during the same period the United States--with no
children's allowance--also experienced a dramatic rise in the
birthrate, while the birthrate in Sweden declined despite its
allowance system. The skeptic argues that decisions concerning
marriage and family size address fundamental conditions of human
existence, which do not yield readily to social policy.
Finally, disbelievers conclude that so-called family-friendly policies
are not really family friendly at all. Rather, these theorists argue
that although the inverse correlations between female labor-force
participation and fertility and marriage rates, and between
expenditures on family benefits and fertility and marriage rates, do
not represent definitive explanations, they are indicative of two firm
underlying realities.
The first is an unyielding tension between a life centered on
family--meeting the continuous demands of marriage, child rearing, and
household management--and a life centered on paid employment and
meeting the continuous demands of a full-time career. As any woman who
has tried it can testify, balancing paid work and family life is
extraordinarily difficult. Caring for young children is immensely
labor intensive and relentless.
A two-earner family with two children under five years of age hits the
ground running by 6:30 a.m. The kids have to be washed, fed, dressed,
and out the door in time to get to the day-care providers well before
the parents are due at their jobs. At 5:00 p.m. the parents leave work
and rush to pick up the kids, take them home to be fed, undressed,
bathed, and put to bed. This tight daily routine can be further
squeezed by jobs that require evening meetings, out-of-town travel,
overtime, and take-home work. On top of the daily routine, there is
weekly shopping for the household, buying children's clothes,
cleaning, laundry, doctor appointments, haircuts, and coping with
pinkeye, strep throat, and ear infections that strike without warning.
It does not take much for things to spin out of control--a dead car
battery, a broken washing machine, or a leaky roof will do it.
Although many men have increased their involvement in domestic life,
whether due to genetic indisposition, poor socialization, ineptitude,
or some combination thereof, their participation in traditional female
duties has fallen far short of a fair share. The reality is that most
working mothers continue to assume the brunt of household and
child-care responsibilities. And with all the working mother's
efforts, at the end of each week her young children have spent the
majority of their waking hours with their physical needs being met and
personalities shaped by strangers.
The second reality is that the main threads of family-friendly
policies are tied to and reinforce female labor-force
participation--and are more aptly labeled "market friendly." These
policies are largely, though not entirely, associated with publicly
provided care for children and supports for periods of parental leave.
To qualify for parental-leave benefits it is necessary to have a job
before having children. The incentive for early attachment to the
labor force is bolstered by publicly subsidized day care. Child-care
services both compensate for the absence of parental child care in
families with working mothers and generate an economic spur for
mothers to shift their labor from the home to the market. In Sweden,
for example, free day-care services are state-subsidized by as much as
$11,900 per child. They are free at the point of consumption, but paid
for dearly by direct and indirect taxes--in 1990, Swedish taxes
absorbed the highest proportion of the gross domestic product of any
OECD country. Paying in advance for the "free" day-care service tends
to squeeze mothers into the labor force, since the crushing tax rates
make it difficult for the average family to get by on the salary of
one earner. State-sponsored welfare activities accounted for about
three-quarters of the net job creation in Sweden between 1970 and
1990, with almost all of these public-service positions being filled
by women. Thus much of the voluntary labor invested in care for
children, disabled kin, and elderly relatives was redirected to
providing social care to strangers for pay.
In sum, the disbeliever argues that a meaningful connection exists
between the decline in marriage and fertility and increasing public
investments in family benefits in recent decades. In the view of such
critics, the quality of family life suffers when mothers with young
children go to work; hence, policies that create incentives to shift
informal labor invested in child care and domestic production to the
realm of paid employment are not "family-friendly" in any genuine
sense.
Reframing the debate
Seen in the context of women's diverse interests in work and family
life, each of the interpretations outlined above frames a slice of
reality. That is, the consequences of family-friendly policies vary in
strength and direction for women with different life-style
preferences. The skeptic is correct in the sense that these policies
probably have little effect on women at the two ends of the
work-family continuum--those who prefer the traditional and postmodern
life styles. Just as the availability of subsidized child-care
services is unlikely to redirect women who are career-centered and not
inclined toward having children, it is doubtful that most women
disposed toward rearing three or more children would be seriously
influenced by the prospect of having their children cared for by other
people on a daily basis.
Although there is a degree of elasticity within each life-style
category, the largest potential for movement is among those women
somewhere in the middle. On one hand, the believer in such policies
probably has a point in that child care and other family benefits
facilitate the objectives of women in the modern group. In the absence
of family benefits, fertility and marriage rates among these women
might have declined, as some of them would adopt a postmodern life
style. On the other hand, the disbelievers' view that most
family-friendly policies undermine the institution they are purported
to support probably resonates with many women in the neo-traditional
group for whom work is secondary to child care. In the absence of
family benefits that create incentives to work and lend impetus to the
normative devaluation of childrearing and the domestic arts, fertility
rates might rise, as some of the women disposed toward a
neo-traditional life style would gravitate into the traditional
category.
The reality is that family policies can be friendlier to some life
styles than to others. Recognizing this, we should explore
alternatives to the conventional perspective on family policies
designed to harmonize work and family life. The conventional approach
is implicitly oriented toward helping mothers work while raising
children. It is informed by male work patterns, which basically
involve a seamless transition from school to the paid labor force
along with a drive to rise as high as possible in a given line of
work. This "male model" of an early start and a continuous work
history imposes a temporal frame on policies to harmonize work and
family life, and it stresses the idea of "balancing" the concurrent
performance of labor-force participation and child-rearing activities.
Child-care services, and even periods of parental leave, facilitate an
ongoing and relatively stable work history--which is preferred by
many, though clearly not all, women.
But the male model offers a narrow perspective on family and career
choices. Viewing the issue from a "life-course perspective" reframes
and extends the choices by including the possibility that a "balance"
between motherhood and employment might be achieved by sequential as
well as concurrent patterns of paid and domestic work. Such a
perspective encompasses not only women who want to combine work and
family life at the same time, but also those who might envision
investing all their resources in child care and domestic activities
for 5 to 10 years and then spending the next 25 to 30 years in paid
employment.
There are good reasons why some women, particularly those in the
traditional and neo-traditional categories, might prefer the
trade-offs of the sequential approach to balancing motherhood and
employment. The contributions of full- time homemakers to their
families and to society vary according to different stages of the
family life cycle. The early years of childhood are critical for
social and cognitive development; some mothers want to invest more
heavily in shaping this development than in advancing their employment
prospects. Home care during the early childhood years is
labor-intensive, which heightens the economic value of the homemaker's
contribution during that period. Finally, as the span of life has
lengthened, even after 10 years at home most women would still have
more than 25 years to invest in paid employment. Of course, choosing
to invest 5 to 10 years in child care and household management would
cut off those careers that require early training, many years of
preparation, or the athletic prowess of youth. And a later start
lessens the likelihood of rising to the very top of the career ladder.
Those are the trade-offs of pursuing two callings in life.
Various measures could be initiated to support the choice of a
sequential approach to balancing family and work. For example, we have
seen that the federal government already provides about $16 billion in
subsidies for a variety of cash and in-kind benefits to working
parents who place their children in day care. The provision of similar
supports through tax credits and home-care allowances to full-time
homemakers with children under five years of age would afford parents
greater freedom to choose between caring for children at home and
consuming state subsidized day-care benefits. To guard against
home-care benefits that would end up disproportionately subsidizing
wealthy families, these schemes could be progressively indexed.
In 1998, Norway initiated a policy to pay cash benefits to all
families with children up to three years old as long as the child was
not enrolled in a state-subsidized day-care center. Finland employs a
similar policy, which was fully implemented in 1989. Between 1989 and
1995 labor-force participation of Finnish women with children under
three years old declined from 68 to 55 percent.
Direct child-rearing benefits are not the only way to recognize and
support those women who choose home care during the early childhood
years. Several European countries provide varying amounts of pension
credits toward retirement to parents who stay home to care for young
children. Family-friendly policies might even award "social" credits
for each year at home with young children, which could be exchanged
for benefits that would assist parents in making the transition from
homemaker to paid employment. Such benefits could include tuition for
academic and technical training, and preferential points on federal
civil-service examinations. The social-credit scheme would be somewhat
akin to certain veterans' benefits, which were granted in recognition
of people who sacrificed career opportunities while serving the
nation. In shaping the moral and physical stock of future citizens,
the homemaker's contribution to national well-being is obviously quite
different from, but no less important than, that of veterans. By
recognizing this contribution the family social-credit scheme would
elevate the sagging status of domestic activities and child-rearing
functions as well as reinforce the thinning fabric of informal social
support networks.
The case for rethinking what we mean by "family-friendly" policies is
put forth not to advance one pattern of motherhood and employment over
another, but to give equal consideration to the diverse values that
influence how women respond to the conflicting demands of work and
family life. As things now stand, public policies are far from neutral
on the question of whether parents should look after their children or
go to work and outsource the job of caring for the kids. As seen in
the growth of public child-care spending, children have become an
increasing source of paid employment. There will always be a few women
leaving well-paid jobs to care for their children. But as an avant
garde of the opt-out revolution, this group is unlikely to draw many
recruits in the face of current policies, the full thrust of which
reinforce the abdication of motherhood.
Copyright of The Public Interest, Issue #158 (Winter 2005), National
Affairs, Inc.
Neil Gilbert is Chernin Professor of Social Welfare at the University
of California, Berkeley, and author of Transformation of the Welfare
State: The Silent Surrender of Public Responsibility (Oxford
University Press, 2002).
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